Match Info

CBA

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Dongguan Basketball Center (Dongguan)


	Guangdong Southern Tigers		Zhejiang Guangsha Lions

	1	2
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.33	3.1
	1.38	2.88
	1.31	3.33	Watch
	1.33	3.2
	1.3	3.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.49)	3.13 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 182.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Guangdong Southern Tigers
70.1%

Zhejiang Guangsha Lions
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangdong Southern Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangdong Southern Tigers's performance.

Zhejiang Guangsha Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zhejiang Guangsha Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangdong Southern Tigers than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangdong Southern Tigers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhejiang Guangsha Lions than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zhejiang Guangsha Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guangdong Southern Tigers - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:88

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Chen Jiazheng	21. Hu Jinqiu
0. Sullinger J.	0. Lin B. S.
1. Sumner E.	23. Sampson J.
2. Xu Jie	59. Tucker R.
25. Zhang Haojia	10. Zhu Junlong
Substitutes
24. Choi Young-Hee	22. Carlton J.
18. Du Runwang	6. Mengze Zhou
3. Hu Mingxuan	55. Su Ruoyu
22. McCall T.	26. Wu Xiao
10. Queen T.	13. Xinquan Cui.
41. Wang Hongze.	9. Zhao Jiaren
28. Wang S.	25. Zhao Yanhao
Coaches
. Feng Du	. Bo W.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guangdong won 2.

Guangdong has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zhejiang is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zhejiang may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Zhejiang has had a series of away games.

Guangdong could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guangdong won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 2090:2028. (average 104.5:101.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Guangdong won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1173:1077. (average 106.6:97.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangdong Southern Tigers Basketball
CBA
31.03.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Jiangsu Dragons	101:75 ✺
29.03.26	Sichuan Blue Whales - Guangdong Southern Tigers	54:102 ✺
27.03.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Beijing Ducks	93:96 ✺
25.03.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Sichuan Blue Whales	93:51 ✺
23.03.26	Shanghai Sharks - Guangdong Southern Tigers	97:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WWLWL
- Zhejiang Guangsha Lions
CBA
02.04.26	Shenzhen Leopards - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	110:80 ✺
29.03.26	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Jiangsu Dragons	91:53 ✺
27.03.26	Sichuan Blue Whales - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	81:91 ✺
24.03.26	Tianjin Ronggang - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	95:100 ✺
22.03.26	Jiangsu Dragons - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	81:88 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

CBA
24.03.25	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	84:74
14.03.25	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Guangdong Southern Tigers	110:94
21.12.24	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	107:113
25.04.24	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Guangdong Southern Tigers	82:117
23.04.24	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Guangdong Southern Tigers	109:102
20.04.24	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	106:96
18.04.24	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Zhejiang Guangsha Lions	120:100

Upcoming Matches