Match Info

CBA

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday

Location: Tianhe Gymnasium (Guangzhou)


	Guangzhou Long-Lions		Shanxi Zhongyu

	1	2
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	1.98	1.75
	2.14	1.77
	1.98	1.79	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.02	1.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.75)	1.74 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Long-Lions
45.7%

Shanxi Zhongyu
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Long-Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangzhou Long-Lions's performance.

Shanxi Zhongyu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shanxi Zhongyu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Long-Lions than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangzhou Long-Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanxi Zhongyu than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanxi Zhongyu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Guangzhou Long Lions - Shanxi Zhongyu Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guangzhou will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Shanxi will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangzhou (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Shanxi (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 176.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5, OT - Shanxi (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Shanxi (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangzhou (votes: 1 - 20%). Shanxi (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:92

#ad

Lineups


6. Burton D.	1. Chen Pengyudi
23. Guohao C.	2. Fall-Faye I.
8. Holiday J.	24. Guy K.
27. Lu Jiahui	18. Han Peiyu
7. Weiyun S.	13. He Jiachen
21. Wenjie Zhang	3. Jia Mingru
28. Wigginton L.	17. Jiao H.
19. Xin Dayi X.	14. Knight M.
2. Xingliang Z.	21. Liu C.
11. Yancheng L.	32. Liu Dong
3. Zhang Huafei	6. Sedak Y.
5. Zhaoyao Y.	8. Zhang Ning
Coaches
. Mitchell N.	. Jiang P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou won 1.

Guangzhou is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shanxi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guangzhou may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shanxi could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guangzhou won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2071:2080. (average 103.6:104).

Including home matches between the teams, Guangzhou won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 978:1003. (average 108.7:111.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Long-Lions
CBA
21.03.26	Ningbo Rockets - Guangzhou Long-Lions	83:95 ✺
18.03.26	Liaoning Dinosaurs - Guangzhou Long-Lions	97:86 ✺
16.03.26	Shenzhen Leopards - Guangzhou Long-Lions	97:96 ✺
14.03.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Beijing Ducks	85:98 ✺
12.03.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Ningbo Rockets	83:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLL
- Shanxi Zhongyu
CBA
21.03.26	Fujian Xunxing - Shanxi Zhongyu	98:100 ✺
17.03.26	Shanxi Zhongyu - Beijing Royal Fighters	107:102 ✺
15.03.26	Jilin Northeast Tigers - Shanxi Zhongyu	96:90 ✺
13.03.26	Liaoning Dinosaurs - Shanxi Zhongyu	92:84 ✺
11.03.26	Shanxi Zhongyu - Jilin Northeast Tigers	85:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

CBA
02.01.26	Shanxi Zhongyu - Guangzhou Long-Lions	70:74
Chinese CBA Club Cup
07.12.25	Shanxi Zhongyu - Guangzhou Long-Lions	80:73
03.12.25	Shanxi Zhongyu - Guangzhou Long-Lions	85:82
CBA
20.01.25	Shanxi Zhongyu - Guangzhou Long-Lions	124:116
07.12.24	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shanxi Zhongyu	104:130
12.01.24	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Shanxi Zhongyu	116:105
11.12.23	Shanxi Zhongyu - Guangzhou Long-Lions	94:105

Upcoming Matches