Match Info

ISRAEL: Super League - Round 4

Date: 28 October 2024, Monday

Referee: Rimon F. (Isr)


	Hapoel Galil Elyon		Hapoel Afula

	1	2
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.2
	1.56	2.22	Watch
	1.61	2.31
	1.64	2.24	Watch
	1.61	2.25
	1.56	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.93)	2.24 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Galil Elyon
58.5%

Hapoel Afula
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Galil Elyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Galil Elyon's performance.

Hapoel Afula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Afula might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Galil Elyon than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Galil Elyon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Afula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Hapoel Galil Elyon - Hapoel Afula Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hapoel Galil Elyon will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Hapoel Afula will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Asayag T.	1. Cohen S.
10. Carreira L.	13. Harel E.
13. Carr M.	0. Lecque J.
5. Freeman L.	2. Mutts J.
30. Goldenberg L.	5. Tokoto J.P.
Substitutes
7. Alkins R.	24. Alber E.
3. Altshuler B.	55. Avivi N.
8. Atias J.	7. Franklin A.
20. Cohen R.	10. Hamama O.
23. Hen O.	77. Levy G.
1. Juiston S.	14. Ovadia O.
14. Steinhauer Y.
Coaches
. Israeli G.	. Bet Halahmi A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Galil Elyon won 2.

Hapoel Galil Elyon is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hapoel Afula is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hapoel Galil Elyon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hapoel Afula have a series of guest games.

Hapoel Galil Elyon will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Hapoel Galil Elyon won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 1078:1103 (average 82.9:84.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Galil Elyon won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 574:560 (average 82:80).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Galil Elyon
Israeli Basketball Super League
17.10.24	Hapoel Galil Elyon - Hapoel Holon	67:68 ✺
14.10.24	Hapoel HaEmek - Hapoel Galil Elyon	77:93 ✺
06.10.24	Hapoel Galil Elyon - Bnei Herzliya	87:93 ✺
Israeli League Cup
18.09.24	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Galil Elyon	75:66 ✺
14.09.24	Ironi Nes Ziona - Hapoel Galil Elyon	89:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLL
- Hapoel Afula BC
Israeli Basketball Super League
21.10.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Afula	78:73 ✺
14.10.24	Elitzur Maccabi Barak Netanya - Hapoel Afula	92:84 ✺
06.10.24	Ironi Kiryat Ata - Hapoel Afula	67:84 ✺
Israeli League Cup
16.09.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Afula	78:85 ✺
13.09.24	Hapoel Afula - Ironi Kiryat Ata	67:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Basketball Super League
07.05.24	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Galil Elyon	82:85
06.03.24	Hapoel Galil Elyon - Hapoel Afula	79:94
04.01.24	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Galil Elyon	109:107 OT
Israeli League Cup
18.09.23	Hapoel Galil Elyon - Hapoel Afula	78:82
Israeli Liga Leumit Basketball
15.06.21	Hapoel Galil Elyon - Hapoel Afula	88:84
11.06.21	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Galil Elyon	87:70
08.06.21	Hapoel Galil Elyon - Hapoel Afula	72:70

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