Match Info

FINLAND: I DIVISIOONA WOMEN

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Mäkelänrinteen Uintikeskus (Helsinki)


	Helmi Basket HBA		BC Nokia

	1	2
	2.43	1.56
	2.56	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (3.34)	1.52 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 140.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helmi Basket HBA
37.8%

BC Nokia
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

72%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helmi Basket HBA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Helmi Basket HBA's performance.

BC Nokia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BC Nokia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmi Basket HBA than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Helmi Basket HBA that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BC Nokia than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BC Nokia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Helmi Basket HBA - BC Nokia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:73

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Preview

Recent matches HBA is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

BC Nokia is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

BC Nokia will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's BC Nokia to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helmi Basket HBA
Finnish I Divisioona Basketball Women
28.01.24	Helmi Basket HBA - Korihait	96:54 ✺
21.01.24	Turun NMKY - Helmi Basket HBA	74:88 ✺
12.01.24	Helmi Basket HBA - Puhuttaret	77:81 ✺
15.12.23	Helmi Basket HBA - Espoon Honka II	77:75 OT ✺
08.12.23	Torpan Pojat II - Helmi Basket HBA	74:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWL
- BC Nokia Women
Finnish I Divisioona Basketball Women
28.01.24	BC Nokia - Espoon Honka II	76:55 ✺
21.01.24	Torpan Pojat II - BC Nokia	66:87 ✺
14.01.24	BC Nokia - Espoo Basket Team II	75:67 ✺
07.01.24	Pantterit - BC Nokia	65:87 ✺
17.12.23	BC Nokia - Korihait	84:52 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWWW

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