Match Info

First League - Round 21

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Sports Center (Gajdobra)

Referee: Vlahovic N. (Srb)


	Hercegovac Gajdobra		Sloboda Užice

	1	2
	1.37	2.82
	1.45	2.51	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.4	2.73
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.55)	2.68 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hercegovac Gajdobra
65.4%

Sloboda Užice
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hercegovac Gajdobra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hercegovac Gajdobra's performance.

Sloboda Užice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sloboda Užice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hercegovac Gajdobra than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hercegovac Gajdobra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sloboda Užice than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sloboda Užice could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hercegovac Gajdobra - Sloboda Užice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jovanovic S.	11. Aksentijevic L.
9. Jurcek Z.	4. Bogicevic P.
33. Mitrovic S.	10. Bozic D. (C)
4. Nedeljkov L.	22. Opoku N.
34. Stojicic D.	46. Simic S.
Substitutes
1. Davis R.	16. Colic O.
11. Grubor M.	18. Dabovic S.
57. Jovovic K.	7. Jovanovic V.
0. Martinovic L.	1. Kondic D.
13. Stepanovic P.	77. Milosavcevic P.
8. Zagradanin B.
45. Zaric A. (C)
Coaches
. Komnenic A.	. Djokic V.

Preview

Hercegovac is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sloboda Užice has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hercegovac could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hercegovac won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 65:70.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Sloboda Uzice	1	1	0	101:81	2
4	Hercegovac	1	1	0	75:65	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Hercegovac Gajdobra
Serbian First League Basketball
11.02.26	OKK Beograd - Hercegovac Gajdobra	92:84 ✺
07.02.26	Hercegovac Gajdobra - Mladost Zemun	95:79 ✺
31.01.26	Hercegovac Gajdobra - Borac Zemun	94:70 ✺
25.01.26	Čačak 94 - Hercegovac Gajdobra	73:84 ✺
16.01.26	Hercegovac Gajdobra - Sloga Kraljevo	79:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWW
- KK Sloboda Užice
Serbian First League Basketball
11.02.26	Sloboda Užice - Borac Zemun	85:82 ✺
08.02.26	Čačak 94 - Sloboda Užice	86:93 ✺
31.01.26	Sloboda Užice - Sloga Kraljevo	83:77 ✺
24.01.26	Zlatibor Čajetina - Sloboda Užice	91:70 ✺
17.01.26	Sloboda Užice - Vojvodina	66:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Serbian First League Basketball
08.11.25	Sloboda Užice - Hercegovac Gajdobra	70:65

Hercegovac Gajdobra - Sloboda Užice: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide