Match Info

Elite 2 - Round 8

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Salle métropolitaine de la Trocardière (Nantes)


	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique		Hyères-Toulon Var Basket

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.51	2.33
	1.73	1.89	Watch
	1.49	2.49
	1.48	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.73)	2.28 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hermine de Nantes Atlantique
59.5%

Hyères-Toulon Var Basket
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hermine de Nantes Atlantique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hermine de Nantes Atlantique's performance.

Hyères-Toulon Var Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hyères-Toulon Var Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hermine de Nantes Atlantique than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hyères-Toulon Var Basket than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Hyères Toulon Var Basket Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Bourhis L.	13. Greenwood M.
28. Kangudia M.	9. Joseph B.
13. Manerlax C.	33. Kok J. (C)
23. Mienandi H. (C)	19. Ndjock E.
24. Van Eyck D.	21. Roberson J.
Substitutes
17. Boum R.	2. Diallo V.
2. Bubu	7. Eugene M.
4. Dambreville E.	25. Keita M.
27. Dossou J.	22. Kouguere M.
7. Gassaud D.	10. Pouaveyoun F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3.

Recent performances by Nantes have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hyères-Toulon is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Nantes will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 444:444. (average 74:74).

Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 226:214. (average 75.3:71.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hermine de Nantes Atlantique
French Elite 2
24.10.25	Antibes - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	79:91 ✺
17.10.25	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Stade Rochelais	73:81 ✺
10.10.25	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Vichy-Clermont	63:76 ✺
French Cup Basketball
07.10.25	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Quimper	89:87 ✺
French Elite 2
03.10.25	Challans - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	71:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLLWW
- Hyères-Toulon Var Basket
French Elite 2
24.10.25	Hyères-Toulon Var Basket - Alliance Sport Alsace	96:100 OT ✺
17.10.25	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Hyères-Toulon Var Basket	87:78 ✺
10.10.25	Hyères-Toulon Var Basket - ADA Blois	64:86 ✺
03.10.25	ASC Denain-Voltaire PH - Hyères-Toulon Var Basket	86:71 ✺
30.09.25	Hyères-Toulon Var Basket - ALM Évreux Basket	93:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Elite 2
11.03.25	Hyères-Toulon Var Basket - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	73:78
18.10.24	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Hyères-Toulon Var Basket	69:73
11.03.16	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Hyères-Toulon Var Basket	74:69
12.01.16	Hyères-Toulon Var Basket - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	82:78
13.03.15	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Hyères-Toulon Var Basket	83:72
14.11.14	Hyères-Toulon Var Basket - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	75:62

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