Match Info

Elite 2 - Round 4

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Salle métropolitaine de la Trocardière (Nantes) 🌤️ ...


	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique		SPO Rouen Basket

	1	2
	1.42	2.60
	1.40	2.60
	1.35	3.17
	1.46	2.53	Watch
	1.33	3.10
	1.35	2.94
	1.38	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.61)	2.85 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hermine de Nantes Atlantique
67.3%

SPO Rouen Basket
32.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hermine de Nantes Atlantique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hermine de Nantes Atlantique's performance.

SPO Rouen Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SPO Rouen Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - SPO Rouen Basket Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Bourhis L.	27. Ambrose J.
19. Massalski Y.	1. Avery M.
5. Masters J.	24. Mintongo I.
23. Mienandi H. (C)	34. Moore J. S.
24. Van Eyck D.	10. Naji A.
Substitutes
7. Gassaud D.	33. Choua M.
3. Gomis M.	7. Embo D.
2. Kangudia L.	3. Malonga R.
18. Koudou S.	20. Masala E.
11. Mouhri S.	23. Pharose N. (C)
Coaches
. Valin R.	. Choulet J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3.

Nantes is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Nantes has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1482:1429 (averaging 82.3:79.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nantes against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 785:679 goals (averaging 87.2:75.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
4	Nantes	6	4	2	501:483	0.667
17	Rouen	6	2	4	496:517	0.333

Last Results with these Odds

SPO Rouen Basket - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.83%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hermine de Nantes Atlantique
French Elite 2
09.10.26	Poitiers Basket 86 - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	90:73 ✺
02.10.26	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Quimper	76:62 ✺
26.09.26	Antibes - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	81:73 ✺
French Cup Basketball
15.09.26	Angers BC 49 - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	84:82
French Elite 2
09.06.26	Poitiers Basket 86 - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	85:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- SPO Rouen Basket
French Elite 2
09.10.26	SPO Rouen Basket - ADA Blois	85:78 ✺
03.10.26	Orléans Loiret - SPO Rouen Basket	91:74 ✺
25.09.26	SPO Rouen Basket - Vichy-Clermont	97:101 AET ✺
French Cup Basketball
15.09.26	STB Le Havre - SPO Rouen Basket	74:73 ✺
French Elite 2
15.05.26	SPO Rouen Basket - Challans	98:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Elite 2
13.02.26	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - SPO Rouen Basket	107:85
14.11.25	SPO Rouen Basket - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	79:87
07.02.25	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - SPO Rouen Basket	87:83
15.11.24	SPO Rouen Basket - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	101:66
01.03.24	SPO Rouen Basket - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	92:88 OT
15.12.23	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - SPO Rouen Basket	89:71
15.04.22	SPO Rouen Basket - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	110:74

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