Match Info

NBL1 East

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Hills Hornets		Maitland Mustangs

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.25	1.57
	2.53	1.47
	2.24	1.56	Watch
	2.50	1.45
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.36	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (3.62)	1.52 ↑ (1.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hills Hornets
39.2%

Maitland Mustangs
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

75.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hills Hornets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hills Hornets's performance.

Maitland Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maitland Mustangs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Hills Hornets - Maitland Mustangs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:86

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hills won 2.

Hills has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Maitland is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Maitland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hills has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hills won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 525:534. (average 87.5:89).

Including home matches between the teams, Hills won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 172:171. (average 86:85.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hills Hornets
Australian NBL1 East
27.06.26	Hills Hornets - Illawarra Hawks 2	105:98 ✺
Australian NBL1 East Women
20.06.26	Hills Hornets - Sutherland Sharks	73:80 ✺
20.06.26	Hornsby Spiders - Hills Hornets	66:84 ✺
Australian NBL1 East
13.06.26	Hills Hornets - Albury Wodonga Bandits	75:84 ✺
30.05.26	Hills Hornets - Inner West Bulls	82:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WLWLW
- Maitland Mustangs
Australian NBL1 East Women
27.06.26	Maitland Mustangs - Central Coast Crusaders	107:87 ✺
20.06.26	Penrith Panthers - Maitland Mustangs	78:95 ✺
Australian NBL1 East
14.06.26	Maitland Mustangs - Inner West Bulls	91:72 ✺
13.06.26	Maitland Mustangs - Sydney Comets	85:67 ✺
30.05.26	Norths Bears - Maitland Mustangs	99:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 East
23.05.26	Maitland Mustangs - Hills Hornets	102:84
12.04.25	Maitland Mustangs - Hills Hornets	88:84
11.05.24	Maitland Mustangs - Hills Hornets	86:101
29.04.23	Hills Hornets - Maitland Mustangs	82:76
16.07.22	Hills Hornets - Maitland Mustangs	90:95
09.04.22	Maitland Mustangs - Hills Hornets	87:84 OT (75:75)

Hills Hornets - Maitland Mustangs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide