Match Info

B.League

Date: 10 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Hiroshima Sun Plaza (Hiroshima)


	Hiroshima Dragonflies		Nagasaki Velca

	1	2
	4.5	1.17	Watch
	4.35	1.15	Watch
	4.75	1.17
	5.08	1.15	Watch
	4.05	1.2
	4.75	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (3.1)	1.17 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hiroshima Dragonflies
20.3%

Nagasaki Velca
79.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hiroshima Dragonflies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hiroshima Dragonflies's form might have worsened.

Nagasaki Velca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nagasaki Velca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroshima Dragonflies than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hiroshima Dragonflies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagasaki Velca than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nagasaki Velca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hiroshima Dragonflies - Nagasaki Velca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dragonflies (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:92

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Evans D.	18. Baba Y.
24. Mayo N.	7. Brantley J.
34. Mitani K.	11. Kumagai K.
8. Smith C.	5. Lee Hyun-Jung
30. Yamazaki R.	25. Mitchell A.
Substitutes
32. Hareyama K.	13. Hoshikawa K.
1. Ichikawa M.	14. Johnson S.
10. Kamisawa T. (C)	4. Karimata M. (C)
5. Matsumura R.	99. Kawamata K.
4. Roberts K.	1. Matsumoto K.
21. Watanabe R.	6. Morita Y.
	17. Yamaguchi H.
Coaches
. Asayama S.	. Maor M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dragonflies won 4.

In recent matches, Dragonflies has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nagasaki is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Nagasaki has had a series of home games.

In this match, Nagasaki is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Nagasaki will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dragonflies won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 642:606. (average 80.3:75.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dragonflies won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 322:308. (average 80.5:77).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hiroshima Dragonflies
Japan B League Premier
07.12.25	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Ryukyu Golden Kings Okinawa	68:74 ✺
06.12.25	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Ryukyu Golden Kings Okinawa	72:81 ✺
16.11.25	Sendai 89ers - Hiroshima Dragonflies	80:85 ✺
15.11.25	Sendai 89ers - Hiroshima Dragonflies	49:88 ✺
12.11.25	Hiroshima Dragonflies - SeaHorses Mikawa	84:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWL
- Nagasaki Velca
Japan B League Premier
07.12.25	Nagasaki Velca - Koshigaya Alphas	99:76 ✺
06.12.25	Nagasaki Velca - Koshigaya Alphas	91:58 ✺
16.11.25	Nagasaki Velca - Akita Northern Happinets	97:61 ✺
15.11.25	Nagasaki Velca - Akita Northern Happinets	91:70 ✺
12.11.25	SAN-EN NeoPhoenix - Nagasaki Velca	80:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
26.03.25	Nagasaki Velca - Hiroshima Dragonflies	77:78
11.01.25	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Nagasaki Velca	82:70
10.01.25	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Nagasaki Velca	78:71
11.12.24	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Nagasaki Velca	88:82
17.04.24	Nagasaki Velca - Hiroshima Dragonflies	89:78
31.01.24	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Nagasaki Velca	74:85
31.12.23	Nagasaki Velca - Hiroshima Dragonflies	68:86

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