Match Info

Basketligaen - Losers stage

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Holbaek Sportsby (Holbaek)


	Holbæk-Stenhus		Værløse Basket

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.2
	1.5	2.44
	1.5	2.43	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.41)	2.4 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holbæk-Stenhus
61.3%

Værløse Basket
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holbæk-Stenhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Værløse Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holbæk-Stenhus than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Værløse Basket than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Holbæk Stenhus - Værløse Basket Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Holbæk-Stenhus (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -6.5, OT - Holbæk-Stenhus (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Holbæk-Stenhus (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Heming K.	3. Baker N.
15. Mccalister M.	25. Donsrud M.
5. Prater F.	8. Drejer Erichsen G.
21. Shinkarev M.	7. Halbye G. (C)
22. Stubkjaer M. (C)	55. Moller W.
Substitutes
10. Aabling J.	32. Bachmann P.
51. Casaletti D.	9. Brodie T.
24. Drame M.	12. Dalsdorf W.
8. Heming A.	14. Ilkjaer S.
3. Pastik T.	10. Meurs J.
56. Stubkjaer D.	4. Offenberg H.
2. Vazquez B.	1. Suinat E.
Coaches
. Garcia M.	. Sorensen J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holbæk-Stenhus won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Holbæk-Stenhus has had a series of away games.

Holbæk-Stenhus could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Holbæk-Stenhus won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1049:1149. (average 80.7:88.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Holbæk-Stenhus won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 490:494. (average 81.7:82.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
9	Vaerlose	5	1	4	406:446	2
10	Holbaek-Stenhus	4	1	3	295:380	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holbæk-Stenhus BK
Danish Basketligaen
17.04.26	Vejen - Holbæk-Stenhus	83:103 ✺
12.04.26	Holbæk-Stenhus - Bears Academy	85:101 ✺
08.04.26	Amager - Holbæk-Stenhus	98:86 ✺
01.04.26	BMS Herlev - Holbæk-Stenhus	65:80 ✺
28.03.26	Værløse Basket - Holbæk-Stenhus	87:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLWL
- Værløse Basket
Danish Basketligaen
19.04.26	Værløse Basket - BMS Herlev	74:97 ✺
12.04.26	Værløse Basket - Amager	96:90 ✺
08.04.26	Vejen - Værløse Basket	86:83 ✺
31.03.26	Bears Academy - Værløse Basket	75:61 ✺
28.03.26	Værløse Basket - Holbæk-Stenhus	87:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Basketligaen
28.03.26	Værløse Basket - Holbæk-Stenhus	87:80
29.10.25	Værløse Basket - Holbæk-Stenhus	87:83
23.09.25	Holbæk-Stenhus - Værløse Basket	81:88
31.03.25	Værløse Basket - Holbæk-Stenhus	100:98 OT
03.03.25	Holbæk-Stenhus - Værløse Basket	98:77
13.02.25	Holbæk-Stenhus - Værløse Basket	104:82
07.12.24	Værløse Basket - Holbæk-Stenhus	88:90

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