Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday

Location: IR-Vollur (Reykjavík)


	IR Reykjavík		Valur

	1	2
			Watch
	5	1.11
	4.82	1.12
	5.41	1.11
	5.25	1.14
	4.8	1.14	Watch
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.59 ↑ (2.05)	1.2 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IR Reykjavík
20.7%

Valur
79.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IR Reykjavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that IR Reykjavík's form might have worsened.

Valur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valur's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IR Reykjavík than the current prediction. (+24.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for IR Reykjavík, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valur than the current prediction. (-24.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

IR Reykjavík - Valur Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. IR Reykjavík (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:93

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Falko J.	6. Acox K. (C)
10. Hjalmarsson H. (C)	10. Jonsson K.
25. Hjalmarsson T. O.	21. Lawson C.
6. Klonaras D.	5. Nikolic L.
1. Tsartsidze T.	24. Woods K.
Substitutes
31. Gerritsen F.	7. Booker F.
8. Gunnlaugsson H.	20. Halldorsson A.
12. Halldorsson B.	0. Marteinn E.
7. Hilmarsson A.	18. Sigurdarson K.
11. Hjorleifsson S.	3. Stefansson H.
9. Rikhardsson B.	9. Svavarsson O.
	11. Svavarsson V.
Coaches
. Ilievski B.	. Stefansson F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IR Reykjavík won 1.

IR Reykjavík has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Valur is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Valur has had a series of home games.

In this match, Valur is a strong favorite.

We predict that Valur will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, IR Reykjavík won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1289:1322. (average 85.9:88.1).

Including home matches between the teams, IR Reykjavík won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 616:618. (average 88:88.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IR Reykjavík Basketball
Icelandic Cup Basketball
15.12.25	Valur - IR Reykjavík	85:69 ✺
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
11.12.25	KR Basket Reykjavík - IR Reykjavík	102:96 ✺
05.12.25	IR Reykjavík - Álftaness	97:86 ✺
21.11.25	Akraness - IR Reykjavík	96:89 ✺
13.11.25	IR Reykjavík - Grindavík	78:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLL
- Valur Reykjavik Basketball
Icelandic Cup Basketball
15.12.25	Valur - IR Reykjavík	85:69 ✺
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
11.12.25	Valur - Keflavík	112:91 ✺
05.12.25	Valur - Njarðvík	94:86 ✺
20.11.25	KR Basket Reykjavík - Valur	91:99 ✺
14.11.25	Valur - Álftaness	92:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Cup Basketball
15.12.25	Valur - IR Reykjavík	85:69
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
01.03.25	Valur - IR Reykjavík	90:87
29.11.24	IR Reykjavík - Valur	84:83
16.03.23	Valur - IR Reykjavík	102:97 OT
08.12.22	IR Reykjavík - Valur	77:83
17.02.22	IR Reykjavík - Valur	80:83
11.11.21	Valur - IR Reykjavík	92:79

IR Reykjavík - Valur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide