Match Info

EUROPE: ALPE ADRIA CUP

Date: 15 November 2023, Wednesday


	Ilirija		Kolín

	1	2
	1.7	2.05
	1.71	1.97
	1.75	2.06
	1.76	2
	1.73	2
	1.69	2.04
	1.72	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2)	2.02 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilirija
54%

Kolín
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilirija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilirija's performance.

Kolín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kolín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilirija than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilirija that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolín than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kolín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ilirija - Kolín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:82

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Preview

Ilirija is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kolín is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ilirija could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KD Ilirija
Slovenian Liga Basketball
11.11.23	Ilirija - Tajfun Šentjur	83:80 ✺
Alpe Adria Cup
07.11.23	Ilirija - Dubrava	80:74 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
03.11.23	Triglav Kranj - Ilirija	82:83 OT ✺
Alpe Adria Cup
31.10.23	Olomoucko - Ilirija	85:76 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
27.10.23	Ilirija - Polzela	96:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW
- BC Kolín
Czech NBL
11.11.23	Kolín - Ústí nad Labem	112:108 OT ✺
Alpe Adria Cup
07.11.23	Timișoara - Kolín	90:84 ✺
Czech NBL
04.11.23	Kolín - NH Ostrava	67:65 ✺
01.11.23	Děčín - Kolín	89:70 ✺
28.10.23	Kolín - Opava	90:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWLW

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