Match Info

1. SKL Women - Round 19

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Dvorana Jezica (Ljubljana)


	Ilirija		Maribor

	1	2
	1.62	2.1
	1.96	1.7	Watch
	1.83	1.84
	2.11	1.62
	1.78	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.58)	1.83 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 134.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilirija
49.6%

Maribor
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilirija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilirija's form might have worsened.

Maribor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maribor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilirija than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Ilirija - Maribor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilirija (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 65:69

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Guska J.	34. Grujic J.
5. Lazarevic A.	1. Meglic T. (C)
13. Misjak Z.	9. Stojko A.
7. Sedminek B.	12. Thompson D.
10. Zeks M. (C)	5. Visocnik Z.
Substitutes
16. Dolenc S.	20. Ferjancic V.
14. Furlan E.	6. Iseinoski L.
11. Krenk U.	15. Kujovic E.
9. Krizmanic L.	2. Levstik T.
8. Lapajne E.	22. Radic B.
3. Trontelj I.	7. Trantura L.
4. Zadravec L.	71. Zimet L.
Coaches
. Novak E.	. Ploj A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilirija won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Maribor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Maribor has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilirija won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1433:1241. (average 71.7:62.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilirija won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 721:654. (average 65.5:59.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Maribor W	1	0	1	42:47	1
6	Ilirija W	1	0	1	50:72	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KED Panter Ilirija Ljubljana
Slovenian Liga Basketball Women
28.02.26	Celje - Ilirija	73:67 ✺
24.02.26	Maribor - Ilirija	79:72 ✺
14.02.26	Ilirija - Jezica	82:53 ✺
11.02.26	Ilirija - Triglav Kranj	60:55 ✺
07.02.26	Ilirija - Škofja Loka	66:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWW
- ŽKD Maribor
Slovenian Liga Basketball Women
24.02.26	Maribor - Ilirija	79:72 ✺
14.02.26	Triglav Kranj - Maribor	72:51 ✺
11.02.26	Celje - Maribor	69:57 ✺
07.02.26	Jezica - Maribor	59:83 ✺
17.01.26	Škofja Loka - Maribor	53:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian Liga Basketball Women
24.02.26	Maribor - Ilirija	79:72
14.01.26	Maribor - Ilirija	53:58
06.12.25	Ilirija - Maribor	75:65
29.03.25	Ilirija - Maribor	52:55
11.01.25	Ilirija - Maribor	76:68 OT
11.12.24	Maribor - Ilirija	53:73
30.03.24	Ilirija - Maribor	68:46

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