Match Info

AdmiralBet ABA League - Round 12

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Hala Tivoli (Ljubljana)

Referee: Stefanovic I. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 2


	Ilirija		Vienna Basket

	1	2
			Watch
	1.52	2.4
	1.5	2.41	Watch
	1.5	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.52
	1.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.5)	2.44 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilirija
61.8%

Vienna Basket
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilirija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Vienna Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilirija than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilirija that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vienna Basket than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vienna Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ilirija - Vienna Basket Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4, OT - Vienna Basket (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vienna Basket (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Green W.	5. Asceric L.
35. Kures L.	0. Boum S.
51. Marjanovic B.	13. Jarumbauskas S.
8. Muric E.	24. Mahalbasic R.
9. Tomazic T.	8. Runjic L.
Substitutes
55. Boisa L.	41. Bajo D.
11. Faganel L.	32. Cotton T.
13. Jurkovic R.	3. Glas G.
4. Padjen M.	2. Hunter S.
12. Shittu S.	12. Mladenov B.
6. Skorjanc G.	21. Stazic A.
23. Vukotic T.
Coaches
. Modric S.	. Coffin M.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AdmiralBet ABA League (Losers stage: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ AdmiralBet ABA League (Losers stage: )).

Ilirija is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Vienna Basket has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vienna Basket may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ilirija might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilirija won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 456:447. (average 91.2:89.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilirija won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 190:182. (average 95:91).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KD Ilirija
Slovenian Cup Basketball
23.12.25	Ilirija - Cedevita Olimpija	78:84 ✺
Adriatic League
19.12.25	KK Zadar - Ilirija	74:69 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
16.12.25	Ilirija - Triglav Kranj	77:85 ✺
Adriatic League
13.12.25	Ilirija - KK Budućnost	66:86 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
10.12.25	Krka - Ilirija	85:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Vienna Basket
Austrian Superliga Basketball
26.12.25	Oberwart Gunners - Vienna Basket	107:75 ✺
Adriatic League
22.12.25	KK Budućnost - Vienna Basket	102:91 ✺
Austrian Superliga Basketball
17.12.25	Vienna Basket - Panthers Fürstenfeld	100:55 ✺
14.12.25	Vienna Basket - UBSC Graz	90:82 ✺
08.12.25	WBC Raiffeisen Wels - Vienna Basket	65:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
03.10.25	Vienna Basket - Ilirija	85:84
Alpe Adria Cup
31.01.24	Ilirija - Vienna Basket	121:101
25.10.23	Vienna Basket - Ilirija	113:102
14.12.22	Vienna Basket - Ilirija	67:80
26.10.22	Ilirija - Vienna Basket	69:81

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