Match Info

Date: 20 May 2022, Friday

Location: Pavilhão Capitão Adriano Nordeste (Ílhavo)


	Illiabum		Vitória de Guimarães

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.4
	2.75	1.36
	3.21	1.32
	2.5	1.5
	2.99	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (1.64)	1.39 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illiabum
33%

Vitória de Guimarães
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illiabum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Illiabum's form might have worsened.

Vitória de Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vitória de Guimarães's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illiabum than the current prediction. (+26.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illiabum, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória de Guimarães than the current prediction. (-26.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitória de Guimarães, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Illiabum - Vitória de Guimarães Predictions

Users Predictions: Vitória de Guimarães will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:87

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Preview

3rd leg. Vitoria leads series 2-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Illiabum won 0.

Illiabum is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vitória de Guimarães is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Illiabum could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 24 head-to-head matches Illiabum won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 17 matches and goals 1858-2037.

Including matches at home between the teams Illiabum won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 785-804.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illiabum Clube
Portuguese LPB
15.05.22	Vitória de Guimarães - Illiabum	95:86 ✺
13.05.22	Vitória de Guimarães - Illiabum	97:88 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
06.05.22	Vitória de Guimarães - Illiabum	99:82 ✺
Portuguese LPB
30.04.22	Illiabum - Vitória de Guimarães	78:71 ✺
23.04.22	Illiabum - Ovarense	72:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL
- Vitória de Guimarães Basketball
Portuguese LPB
15.05.22	Vitória de Guimarães - Illiabum	95:86 ✺
13.05.22	Vitória de Guimarães - Illiabum	97:88 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
07.05.22	Benfica - Vitória de Guimarães	89:70 ✺
06.05.22	Vitória de Guimarães - Illiabum	99:82 ✺
Portuguese LPB
30.04.22	Illiabum - Vitória de Guimarães	78:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
15.05.22	Vitória de Guimarães - Illiabum	95:86
13.05.22	Vitória de Guimarães - Illiabum	97:88
Taca de Portugal Basketball
06.05.22	Vitória de Guimarães - Illiabum	99:82
Portuguese LPB
30.04.22	Illiabum - Vitória de Guimarães	78:71
13.04.22	Vitória de Guimarães - Illiabum	94:83
28.12.21	Illiabum - Vitória de Guimarães	76:89
10.10.21	Vitória de Guimarães - Illiabum	88:62

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