The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente de Oliva 71.5%
San Martín de Corrientes 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.9%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.5%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente de Oliva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
San Martín de Corrientes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente de Oliva than the current prediction. (-11%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente de Oliva that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Corrientes than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Martín de Corrientes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Independiente de Oliva - San Martín de Corrientes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:75
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Caffaro A.
15. Berra Fernandez L.
2. Conrradi F.
5. Garcia G.
9. Rolfi F.
1. Gargallo L.
8. Tabarez P.
12. Mendez F.
19. Vallejos R.
8. Ramallo G.
Substitutes
7. Barrionuevo F.
0. Aguerre F.
12. Duvanced V.
27. Aguerre F.
5. Fernandez M.
18. Fernandez M.
27. Filipetti E.
4. Fernandez V.
51. Hurtado C.
7. Moreira
6. Marcucci N. J.
19. Nunez L.
10. Pautasso A.
17. Rearte M.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind de Oliva won 3.
Ind de Oliva is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
San Martín's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Ind de Oliva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
In this match, Ind de Oliva is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ind de Oliva won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 515:529. (average 73.6:75.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Ind de Oliva won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 247:219. (average 82.3:73).
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Caffaro A. 
Moreira 
Nunez L. 
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