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Current Win Probability
Indios de Mayagüez 59.4%
Criollos de Caguas 40.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.8%
49.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.2%
49.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Indios de Mayagüez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Indios de Mayagüez's performance.
Criollos de Caguas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Criollos de Caguas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Indios de Mayagüez than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Indios de Mayagüez that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criollos de Caguas than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Criollos de Caguas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Indios de Mayagüez - Criollos de Caguas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:92
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
6. Gaiter I.
34. Brown M.
24. Harrison T.
23. King L.
22. Santiago B.
24. Lopez C.
20. Sobey N.
4. Nunez R.
21. Waardenburg S.
13. Trice T.
Substitutes
0. Camacho B.
11. Diaz J.
13. Cotto R.
2. Early J. Jr.
33. Cuascut L.
1. Huertas H.
1. Erazo J. (C)
14. Kappos A. (C)
7. Garcia J.
15. Koon D.
19. Henriquez L.
0. Medina O.
8. Lucena N.
22. Morales A.
15. Placer J.
12. O'Connell M.
21. Ralat A.
10. Rivera L.
Preview
Indios de Mayagüez is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Criollos de Caguas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Criollos de Caguas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Indios de Mayagüez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 351:364. (average 87.8:91).
Including home matches between the teams, Indios de Mayagüez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 189:191. (average 94.5:95.5).