Match Info

GREECE: BASKET LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Platonas Arena (Nikaia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT


	Ionikos Nikaias		Karditsas

	1	2
	1.69	2.25
	1.8	1.9
	1.85	1.95
	1.73	2.04
	1.69	1.93
	1.73	2
	1.7	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.33)	2.02 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ionikos Nikaias
53.7%

Karditsas
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ionikos Nikaias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ionikos Nikaias's form might have worsened.

Karditsas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karditsas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ionikos Nikaias than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ionikos Nikaias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karditsas than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karditsas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Ionikos Nikaias - Karditsas Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ionikos will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Karditsas will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karditsas: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:80

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Elite League).

Ionikos is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Karditsas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ionikos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ionikos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 88-79.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ionikos Nikaias BC
Greek Basket League A1
02.01.23	Lavrio - Ionikos Nikaias	95:63 ✺
11.12.22	Ionikos Nikaias - Aris	90:97 OT (79:79) ✺
03.12.22	Peristeri BC - Ionikos Nikaias	96:67 ✺
27.11.22	Ionikos Nikaias - Apollon Patras	79:75 ✺
19.11.22	AEK Athens - Ionikos Nikaias	92:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- AS Karditsas
Greek Basket League A1
30.12.22	Karditsas - Promitheas Patras	68:81 ✺
27.12.22	Karditsas - Olympiacos Piraeus	75:89 ✺
10.12.22	Lavrio - Karditsas	81:80 ✺
04.12.22	Karditsas - PAOK	63:92 ✺
26.11.22	Aris - Karditsas	85:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Elite League Basketball
19.01.19	Karditsas - Ionikos Nikaias	79:88

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