Match Info

GREECE: Elite League - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Ivanofeio Sports Arena (Thessaloniki)


	Iraklis		Megaridas

	1	2
	1.98	1.72
	1.86	1.87
	1.87	1.81	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.89	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.57)	1.81 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iraklis
49%

Megaridas
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iraklis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Iraklis's form might have worsened.

Megaridas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Megaridas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iraklis than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Iraklis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Megaridas than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Megaridas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Iraklis - Megaridas Predictions

Users Predictions: Iraklis will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:78

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iraklis won 4.

Iraklis is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Megaridas is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Iraklis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Iraklis will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Iraklis won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 705:693 (average 78.3:77).

Including matches at home between the teams Iraklis won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 294:277 (average 73.5:69.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iraklis Thessaloniki BC
Greek Elite League Basketball
11.01.25	Iraklis - Mykonos	85:84 OT ✺
04.01.25	Doxa Lefkadas - Iraklis	70:69 ✺
21.12.24	Proteas Voulas - Iraklis	85:93 OT ✺
18.12.24	Iraklis - Vikos	69:65 ✺
14.12.24	Iraklis - Near East	76:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW
- NE Megaridas
Greek Elite League Basketball
18.01.25	Megaridas - Near East	82:77 ✺
12.01.25	Psychiko - Megaridas	69:77 ✺
04.01.25	Megaridas - Panerythraikos	65:63 ✺
Greek Cup Basketball
27.12.24	Mykonos - Megaridas	80:84 ✺
Greek Elite League Basketball
21.12.24	Megaridas - Koroivos	94:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Elite League Basketball
19.10.24	Megaridas - Iraklis	89:79
27.04.24	Iraklis - Megaridas	72:63
24.04.24	Megaridas - Iraklis	93:95 OT
20.04.24	Iraklis - Megaridas	73:69
17.04.24	Megaridas - Iraklis	70:72
27.01.24	Iraklis - Megaridas	69:72
18.10.23	Megaridas - Iraklis	89:85

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