Match Info

GREECE: Elite League - Round 11

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Ivanofeio Sports Arena (Thessaloniki)


	Iraklis		Panerythraikos

	1	2
	1.34	2.9
	1.28	3.2
	1.29	3.19
			Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.32	3.2
	1.28	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.63)	3.2 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 152.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iraklis
71.1%

Panerythraikos
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iraklis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iraklis's performance.

Panerythraikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Panerythraikos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iraklis than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Iraklis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panerythraikos than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Panerythraikos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Iraklis - Panerythraikos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:73

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Iraklis won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Iraklis won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 436:422 (average 72.7:70.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Iraklis won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 297:284 (average 74.3:71).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iraklis Thessaloniki BC
Greek Elite League Basketball
23.11.24	Koroivos - Iraklis	60:64 ✺
16.11.24	Iraklis - Aries Trikala	84:61 ✺
13.11.24	Ermis Schimatari - Iraklis	71:62 ✺
09.11.24	Iraklis - Esperos Kallitheas	86:75 ✺
03.11.24	HANTH - Iraklis	68:67 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWL
- Panerythraikos AS
Greek Elite League Basketball
23.11.24	Panerythraikos - Near East	78:57 ✺
16.11.24	Psychiko - Panerythraikos	95:85 ✺
13.11.24	Panerythraikos - Vikos	69:73 ✺
09.11.24	Panerythraikos - Koroivos	77:67 ✺
02.11.24	Aries Trikala - Panerythraikos	68:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Elite League Basketball
03.02.24	Panerythraikos - Iraklis	69:72
21.10.23	Iraklis - Panerythraikos	69:63
13.05.23	Panerythraikos - Iraklis	69:67
10.05.23	Iraklis - Panerythraikos	78:66
04.02.23	Iraklis - Panerythraikos	76:87
Greek Cup Basketball
16.11.22	Iraklis - Panerythraikos	74:68

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