Match Info

Asian Games - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday


	Japan		China

	1	2
	4.20	1.20
	4.00	1.19
	4.25	1.18
	4.04	1.23
	4.17	1.2
	4.00	1.21
	3.96	1.21
	4.10	1.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (3.84)	1.2 ↑ (1.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan
22.7%

China
77.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

76.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

China has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Japan - China Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. China will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:89

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Japan won 2.

Japan is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

China is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Japan could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to China for this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Japan has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 871:958 (averaging 72.6:79.8 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan basketball
Asian Games Basketball
16.09.26	Chinese Taipei - Japan	78:85 ✺
13.09.26	Japan - South Korea	83:100 ✺
11.09.26	Saudi Arabia - Japan	80:86 ✺
10.09.26	Japan - Indonesia	98:53 ✺
World Championship Basketball
31.08.26	Japan - Qatar	123:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWW
- China basketball
Asian Games Basketball
16.09.26	China - Saudi Arabia	87:78 ✺
14.09.26	China - Philippines	105:61 ✺
12.09.26	Bahrain - China	59:105 ✺
10.09.26	China - Kazakhstan	99:61 ✺
World Championship Basketball
31.08.26	China - Lebanon	89:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
03.07.26	China - Japan	73:92
26.02.26	Japan - China	80:87
Asia Cup Basketball
20.02.25	China - Japan	100:58
25.02.24	Japan - China	76:73
World Championship Basketball
28.11.21	Japan - China	73:106
26.11.21	China - Japan	79:63
Asia Cup Basketball
19.06.21	China - Japan	90:84

Japan - China: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide