Match Info

Asia Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)


	Japan		Lebanon

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.4
	1.41	2.72	Watch
	1.48	2.67
	1.69	2.06	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.44	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.38)	2.55 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan
63.2%

Lebanon
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Lebanon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Japan than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lebanon than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Japan - Lebanon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +6.5, OT - Lebanon (1.82) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +5.5 - Lebanon (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 170, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Japan will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Japan (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Lebanon (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Baba Y. Nagasaki	9. El Darwich S.
24. Hawkinson J. (C) Sun Rockers Shibuya	23. Khayat Y.
7. Toews K. Alvark Tokyo	11. Lawson D. Xinjiang
30. Tominaga K. G League United	10. Mansour A. Al-Riyadi
91. Yoshii H. NeoPhoenix	7. Zeinoun K. Al-Riyadi
Substitutes
23. Harper J. Sun Rockers Shibuya	20. Arakji W. Al-Riyadi
4. Jacobs A.	24. Gyokchyan H. Al-Riyadi
13. Kanechika R. Chiba	34. Hadidian G. Tadamon Zouk
14. Kano T. Shinshu	40. Haidar A. Beirut Club
99. Kawamata K. Nagasaki	1. Jamaleddine O. Sagesse Al Hekmeh Beirut
19. Nishida Y. SeaHorses Mikawa	25. Mezher A.
2. Togashi Y. Chiba	5. Saoud A. (C) Al-Riyadi
Coaches
. Hovasse T.	. Perisic M.

Preview

Japan is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Lebanon has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Japan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Japan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan basketball
Asia Cup Basketball
10.08.25	Guam - Japan	63:102 ✺
08.08.25	Iran - Japan	78:70 ✺
06.08.25	Japan - Syria	99:68 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
01.08.25	Japan - Saudi Arabia	85:78 ✺
30.07.25	Qatar - Japan	92:103 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWW
- Lebanon basketball
Asia Cup Basketball
10.08.25	South Korea - Lebanon	97:86 ✺
08.08.25	Lebanon - Australia	80:93 ✺
06.08.25	Qatar - Lebanon	80:84 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
27.07.25	Lebanon - Egypt	87:74 ✺
25.07.25	Lebanon - Syria	79:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWW

Japan - Lebanon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide