Match Info

WORLD: WORLD CUP - CLASSIFICATION ROUND

Date: 31 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Okinawa Arena (Okinawa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Japan		Venezuela

	1	2
	1.17	5.5	Watch
	1.14	5.6
	1.17	5.12
	1.2	4.8
	1.17	5.25
	1.15	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.3)	5.28 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan
81.9%

Venezuela
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.5%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Japan's performance.

Venezuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Venezuela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Japan than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Japan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezuela than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Venezuela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Japan - Venezuela Predictions

Users Predictions: Japan will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:76

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Preview

Japan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Venezuela has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Venezuela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Japan is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan basketball
World Championship Basketball
29.08.23	Australia - Japan	109:89 ✺
27.08.23	Japan - Finland	98:88 ✺
25.08.23	Germany - Japan	81:63 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
19.08.23	Japan - Slovenia	68:103 ✺
17.08.23	Japan - France	70:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLLL
- Venezuela basketball
World Championship Basketball
30.08.23	Georgia - Venezuela	70:59 ✺
28.08.23	Venezuela - Cape Verde	75:81 ✺
26.08.23	Slovenia - Venezuela	100:85 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
21.08.23	Venezuela - Iran	87:89 OT ✺
20.08.23	Venezuela - Jordan	87:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Japan - Venezuela: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide