Match Info

CBA

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Changchun Gymnasium (Changchun)


	Jilin Northeast Tigers		Tianjin Ronggang

	1	2
	1.29	3.4	Watch
	1.32	3.15
	1.3	2.95
	1.32	3.13	Watch
	1.4	2.88
	1.45	2.65	Watch
	1.28	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.66)	3.08 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jilin Northeast Tigers
69.7%

Tianjin Ronggang
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jilin Northeast Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jilin Northeast Tigers's performance.

Tianjin Ronggang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tianjin Ronggang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jilin Northeast Tigers than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jilin Northeast Tigers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tianjin Ronggang than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tianjin Ronggang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jilin Northeast Tigers - Tianjin Ronggang Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 179, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -6.5, OT - Jilin (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jilin Northeast Tigers will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jilin Northeast Tigers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Jilin (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:86

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Lineups


99. Apson Z.	29. Gao Shiao
5. Cui Jinming	2. Hamlet J.
0. Duan L.	15. Haoran Z.
15. Gailey J.	77. He Siyu
22. Jia Hao	31. James D. S.
11. Jiang Weize	5. Lai Junhao
35. Liu Y.	0. Lin Ting-Chien
14. Moore D.	7. Li Rongpei
37. Shuzhou Z.	4. Reynolds J.
17. Tengfei Y.	23. Shi Deshaui
1. Wilson D.	3. Tanizawa B.
33. Zeng Fanri	13. Zhang Yunmeng

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jilin won 2.

Jilin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tianjin is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Jilin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Jilin will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jilin won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 2112:2017. (average 105.6:100.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Jilin won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1057:962. (average 105.7:96.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jilin Northeast Tigers
CBA
16.12.25	Shenzhen Leopards - Jilin Northeast Tigers	99:81 ✺
14.12.25	Shanghai Sharks - Jilin Northeast Tigers	95:85 ✺
Chinese CBA Club Cup
07.12.25	Jilin Northeast Tigers - Shenzhen Leopards	88:85 ✺
05.12.25	Changsha - Jilin Northeast Tigers	76:101 ✺
03.12.25	Jilin Northeast Tigers - Fujian Xunxing	85:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWW
- Tianjin Ronggang
CBA
16.12.25	Beijing Royal Fighters - Tianjin Ronggang	92:89 ✺
13.12.25	Tianjin Ronggang - Liaoning Dinosaurs	68:80 ✺
Chinese CBA Club Cup
07.12.25	Qingdao DoubleStar - Tianjin Ronggang	116:93 ✺
06.12.25	Tianjin Ronggang - Beijing Ducks	86:105 ✺
04.12.25	Zhejiang Guangsha Lions - Tianjin Ronggang	108:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

CBA
11.01.25	Tianjin Ronggang - Jilin Northeast Tigers	113:110
03.11.24	Jilin Northeast Tigers - Tianjin Ronggang	102:108
Club Friendly Basketball
03.10.24	Tianjin Ronggang - Jilin Northeast Tigers	87:92
CBA
28.01.24	Tianjin Ronggang - Jilin Northeast Tigers	124:110
13.01.24	Jilin Northeast Tigers - Tianjin Ronggang	106:102
29.10.23	Jilin Northeast Tigers - Tianjin Ronggang	102:91
17.01.23	Jilin Northeast Tigers - Tianjin Ronggang	102:88

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