Match Info

Date: 6 February 2021, Saturday


	Jonava		Gargždų

	1	X	2
	1.11		5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.96)		5.5 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonava
83.2%

Gargždų
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+36.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jonava's performance.

Gargždų has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-36.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gargždų might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (-35.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jonava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gargždų than the current prediction. (+35.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gargždų could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jonava - Gargždų Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:81

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Preview

No spectators.

Jonava is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gargždų is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jonava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Jonava won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 642-690.

Including matches at home between the teams Jonava won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 339-363.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jonava BC
Lietuvos NKL
04.02.21	Jonava - Palanga	92:71 ✺
02.02.21	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Jonava	86:101 ✺
30.01.21	Jonava - Mažeikiai	126:83 ✺
26.01.21	Telšiai - Jonava	66:70 ✺
09.01.21	Jonava - Telšiai	85:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWL
- Gargždų SC Basketball
Lietuvos NKL
26.01.21	Gargždų - Vytis Šakiai	119:115 OT (87:87) ✺
23.01.21	Gargždų - Perlas Vilnius	73:80 ✺
21.01.21	Neptūnas - Gargždų	94:68 ✺
19.01.21	Gargždų - Palanga	72:71 ✺
16.01.21	Vytis Šakiai - Gargždų	97:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
05.03.20	Jonava - Gargždų	83:92
01.02.20	Gargždų - Jonava	83:64
11.01.20	Jonava - Gargždų	66:101
09.11.19	Gargždų - Jonava	83:73
08.03.19	Gargždų - Jonava	100:98 OT (87:87)
08.02.19	Jonava - Gargždų	98:82
04.01.19	Jonava - Gargždų	92:88

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