Match Info

LKL

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jonavos sporto arena (Jonava) 🌤️ ...


	Jonava		Neptūnas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.40	1.48
	2.9	1.37
	3.04	1.32
	2.83	1.39	Watch
	2.69	1.41	Watch
	3.1	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.6)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonava
32.9%

Neptūnas
67.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jonava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neptūnas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jonava - Neptūnas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jonava will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jonava (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Arlauskas M.	0. Drell H.
13. Brown C.	14. Echodas M.
24. Kuliesa N.	8. Girdziunas M. (C)
3. Sabeckis D. (C)	37. Tubutis E.
7. Valantinas L.	13. Zemaitis K.
Substitutes
10. Harrison D.	5. Franke Y.
0. Johnson N.	10. Fridriksson E.
8. Lambrecht T.	88. Kreismontas L.
1. Mesidor R.	7. Sarakauskas S.
11. Repsys M.	17. Somerville R.
18. Vasiliauskas G.	1. Tarolis D.
Coaches
. Babrauskas S.	. Petrauskas G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jonava won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Jonava could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Neptūnas holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Jonava has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1764:1713 (averaging 88.2:85.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Jonava against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 790:751 goals (averaging 87.8:83.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
4	Neptunas	7	4	3	606:583	0.571
8	Jonava	6	2	4	455:474	0.333

Outrights of Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga for now

Neptunas: 2.84%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jonava BC
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
10.10.26	Lietkabelis - Jonava	65:71 ✺
03.10.26	Jonava - Šiauliai	63:79 ✺
ENBL
27.09.26	Jonava - Tindastóll	71:79 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
22.09.26	Jonava - Nevėžis Kedainiai	85:65 ✺
19.09.26	Tauragė - Jonava	95:90 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLWL
- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Eurocup
13.10.26	Neptūnas - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	93:89 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
10.10.26	Rytas - Neptūnas	86:77 ✺
Eurocup
07.10.26	Niners Chemnitz - Neptūnas	93:84 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
03.10.26	Neptūnas - Nevėžis Kedainiai	89:62 ✺
Eurocup
29.09.26	Neptūnas - Basket Trento	73:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
17.05.26	Neptūnas - Jonava	95:89
21.03.26	Jonava - Neptūnas	81:64
07.12.25	Jonava - Neptūnas	117:124 OT
26.10.25	Neptūnas - Jonava	117:113
20.05.25	Jonava - Neptūnas	93:98 OT
05.04.25	Neptūnas - Jonava	97:98
28.12.24	Jonava - Neptūnas	86:82

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