Match Info

LITHUANIA: LKL

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Jonava		Pieno Zvaigzdes

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.4
	1.49	2.45	Watch
	1.5	2.59
	1.5	2.59
	1.47	2.52	Watch
	1.5	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.54)	2.49 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonava
62.5%

Pieno Zvaigzdes
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Pieno Zvaigzdes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pieno Zvaigzdes than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Jonava - Pieno Zvaigzdes Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jonava will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Pieno Zvaigzdes will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:85

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jonava won 5.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Pieno Zvaigzdes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Pieno Zvaigzdes have a series of home games.

Jonava will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Jonava won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 854-821.

Including matches at home between the teams Jonava won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 333-298.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jonava BC
FIBA Europe Cup
13.12.23	Legia Warsaw - Jonava	111:72 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
10.12.23	Neptūnas - Jonava	69:64 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
06.12.23	Jonava - Sporting Lisbon	81:91 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
02.12.23	Juventus Utena - Jonava	96:63 ✺
26.11.23	Jonava - Juventus Utena	84:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW
- Pieno Zvaigzdes
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
09.12.23	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Rytas	77:101 ✺
03.12.23	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Neptūnas	83:86 ✺
27.11.23	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Pieno Zvaigzdes	90:91 OT ✺
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
23.11.23	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Šiauliai	76:100 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
18.11.23	Pieno Zvaigzdes - BC Wolves	88:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
08.10.23	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Jonava	92:93
02.05.23	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Jonava	98:100 OT
06.03.23	Jonava - Pieno Zvaigzdes	84:77
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
23.11.22	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Jonava	76:80
26.10.22	Jonava - Pieno Zvaigzdes	81:70
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
10.10.22	Pieno Zvaigzdes - Jonava	90:92
02.04.22	Jonava - Pieno Zvaigzdes	91:82

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