Match Info

ACB - Round 5

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Palau Municipal d'Esports de Badalona (Badalona)

Referee: Fernandez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Joventut Badalona		Força Lleida CE

	1	2
	1.28	3.8	Watch
			Watch
	1.28	3.7	Watch
	1.32	3.51	Watch
	1.26	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.4)	3.68 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joventut Badalona
74.1%

Força Lleida CE
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joventut Badalona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joventut Badalona's performance.

Força Lleida CE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Força Lleida CE might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joventut Badalona than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joventut Badalona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Força Lleida CE than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Força Lleida CE could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Joventut Badalona - Força Lleida CE Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -9.5, OT - Joventut (2.07) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Joventut (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:81

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Lineups


21. Allen M.	4. Agada C.
35. Birgander S.	1. Batemon J.
17. Dekker S.	52. Dabo I.
0. Drell H.	12. Diagne A.
12. Hakanson L.	3. Ejim M.
88. Hanga A.	16. Jimenez M.
24. Hunt C.	25. Krutwig C.
1. Kraag Y.	5. Pauli O.
9. Rubio R.	14. Sanz M.
23. Ruzic M.	22. Shurna J.
44. Tomic A.	2. Walden C.
16. Vives G.	6. Zoriks K.
Coaches
. Miret D.	. Encuentra G.

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Força Lleida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Joventut is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Joventut won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 256:215. (average 85.3:71.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Joventut won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 170:134. (average 85:67).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joventut Badalona
Spanish ACB League
26.10.25	Valencia - Joventut Badalona	102:90 ✺
Champions League Basketball
22.10.25	Joventut Badalona - Bursaspor	94:67 ✺
Spanish ACB League
19.10.25	Joventut Badalona - Bilbao Basket	101:69 ✺
Champions League Basketball
14.10.25	Hapoel Holon - Joventut Badalona	65:81 ✺
Spanish ACB League
12.10.25	Joventut Badalona - Basket Zaragoza	89:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWW
- Força Lleida CE
Spanish ACB League
25.10.25	Força Lleida CE - Granada	99:90 ✺
19.10.25	Força Lleida CE - Valencia	78:99 ✺
12.10.25	Barcelona - Força Lleida CE	86:91 ✺
04.10.25	Força Lleida CE - CB Breogán	87:68 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
18.09.25	Girona - Força Lleida CE	67:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
04.09.25	Joventut Badalona - Força Lleida CE	78:62
Spanish ACB League
23.03.25	Força Lleida CE - Joventut Badalona	81:86
27.12.24	Joventut Badalona - Força Lleida CE	92:72

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