Match Info

NKL - Losers stage

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall (Jurbarkas)


	Jurbarkas-Karys		Neptūnas-Akvaservis

	1	2
	1.36	2.75
	1.36	2.88
	1.42	2.63	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.41	2.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.34)	2.73 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jurbarkas-Karys
66.3%

Neptūnas-Akvaservis
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jurbarkas-Karys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Neptūnas-Akvaservis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jurbarkas-Karys than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas-Akvaservis than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Jurbarkas Karys - Neptūnas Akvaservis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Adomavicius A.	6. Jonkus E. (C)
99. Babusis K.	77. Lesciauskas K.
10. Guscikas K.	16. Macijauskas M.
6. Matulis G. (C)	13. Maciulis R.
55. Tamulis J.	24. Metrikis K.
Substitutes
34. Bilevicius T.	1. Erlickis A.
17. Kokoska K.	28. Remeikis D.
3. Micevicius L.	11. Rinkevicius T.
2. Nausedas J.	12. Sakaitis R.
9. Valunta S.	7. Sarakauskas S.
23. Volbikas A.	39. Virkutis J.
Coaches
. Valaitis P.	. Gaidamavicius T.

Preview

Jurbarkas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Neptūnas-Akvaservis is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Neptūnas-Akvaservis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jurbarkas is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jurbarkas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 311:323. (average 77.8:80.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Jurbarkas won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 152:166. (average 76:83).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Jurbarkas	3	3	0	286:224	3
11	Neptunas 2	3	1	2	247:240	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Jurbarkas-Karys
Lietuvos NKL
03.03.26	Vilniaus Stekas - Jurbarkas-Karys	79:87 ✺
21.02.26	Jurbarkas-Karys - Plunges Olimpas	102:90 ✺
19.02.26	Šilutė - Jurbarkas-Karys	85:89 ✺
14.02.26	Jurbarkas-Karys - Alytaus Alytus	111:87 ✺
07.02.26	Telšiai - Jurbarkas-Karys	74:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWL
- Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis
Lietuvos NKL
28.02.26	Olimpas Palanga - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	73:75 ✺
26.02.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kretinga	86:58 ✺
21.02.26	Alytaus Alytus - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	89:91 OT ✺
19.02.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Vilniaus Stekas	77:70 ✺
14.02.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Omega Tauras	83:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
24.01.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Jurbarkas-Karys	84:82
08.11.25	Jurbarkas-Karys - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	68:71 OT
20.12.24	Jurbarkas-Karys - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	84:95
24.10.24	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Jurbarkas-Karys	73:77

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