Match Info

LKL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Utenos arena (Utena)


	Juventus Utena		Rytas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.75	1.42	Watch
	2.92	1.35
	2.87	1.37	Watch
	2.8	1.36
	2.77	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.02)	1.38 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus Utena
32.9%

Rytas
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

74.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus Utena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Rytas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus Utena than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juventus Utena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rytas than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rytas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Juventus Utena - Rytas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Juventus will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Rytas will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:93

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Beniusis S. (C)	9. Bruhnke K.
11. Diarra H.	8. Gudaitis A. (C)
22. Lewis M.	77. Paliukenas M.
10. Uleckas L.	43. Sargiunas I.
66. Valinskas P.	44. Speedy Smith
Substitutes
0. Chery K.	14. Echodas M.
6. Didzgalvis T.	10. Harding J.
1. Johnson M.	22. Krizanauskas G.
23. Mockus M.	3. Marciulionis A.
5. Saulys E.	21. Masiulis G.
21. Venskus E.	16. Urbonas I.
13. Vranes I.
Coaches
. Eglinskas L.	. Zibenas G.

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 1.

Juventus is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rytas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Juventus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rytas has had a series of away games.

In this match, Rytas is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1703:1855. (average 85.2:92.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventus won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 844:929. (average 84.4:92.9).

Outrights of Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga for now

Juventus: 1.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
6	Juventus	4	2	2	353:337	0.500
9	Rytas	1	0	1	102:105	0.000

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus Utena
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
15.05.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Juventus Utena	108:93 ✺
12.05.26	Jonava - Juventus Utena	90:95 ✺
09.05.26	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Juventus Utena	95:98 OT ✺
06.05.26	Juventus Utena - Šiauliai	87:82 ✺
02.05.26	Juventus Utena - Neptūnas	102:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWW
- BC Rytas
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
16.05.26	Gargždai - Rytas	103:98 ✺
13.05.26	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Rytas	88:117 ✺
Champions League Basketball
09.05.26	AEK Athens - Rytas	86:92 OT ✺
07.05.26	Rytas - Canarias	87:69 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
03.05.26	Lietkabelis - Rytas	96:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
25.04.26	Rytas - Juventus Utena	102:80
17.02.26	Juventus Utena - Rytas	82:87
24.01.26	Rytas - Juventus Utena	96:99
28.09.25	Juventus Utena - Rytas	85:92
07.05.25	Juventus Utena - Rytas	90:104
16.04.25	Rytas - Juventus Utena	90:75
12.01.25	Rytas - Juventus Utena	90:76

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