Match Info

Premijer liga - Round 4

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Dvorana KK Split (Split) 🌤️ ...


	KK Split		KK Zadar

	1	2
	1.83	1.85
	1.80	1.88	Watch
	1.71	2.06
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	1.69	2.03
	1.80	1.88
	1.62	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.97)	1.96 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KK Split
52.8%

KK Zadar
47.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KK Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KK Split's performance.

KK Zadar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KK Zadar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KK Split than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KK Zadar than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

KK Split - KK Zadar Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Split will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). KK Zadar will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Split (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Bajo D.	8. Buljevic L.
0. Johnson N.	24. Dreznjak D.
13. Kacinas M.	6. Klarica K.
24. McLaughlin T.	46. Ramljak M. (C)
4. Vuko T. (C)	12. Sare N.
Substitutes
88. Gulin I.	55. Bicic L.
10. Kucic V.	5. Mirceta A.
41. Palavra V.	17. Ogden M.
00. Rebec M.	13. Vranes I.
5. Salamunic M.	27. Vucic I.
44. Turudic B.	34. Williams R.
1. Ukic L.
Coaches
. Rancic D.	. Modric S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Split won 1.

Split is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

KK Zadar has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Split could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, KK Zadar has had a run of games away from home.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Split has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1380:1607 (averaging 69:80.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Split against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 722:773 goals (averaging 72.2:77.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Zadar	5	5	0	446:318	10
3	Split	5	4	1	410:360	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Split
FIBA Europe Cup
14.10.26	KK Split - Trepça	69:78 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
10.10.26	Dubrava - KK Split	62:86 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
07.10.26	Opava - KK Split	68:74 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
02.10.26	KK Split - Kvarner	94:73 ✺
26.09.26	Dubrovnik - KK Split	66:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWW
- KK Zadar
Adriatic League
16.10.26	Vienna Basket - KK Zadar	78:63 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
12.10.26	Virtus Zagreb - KK Zadar	56:87 ✺
Adriatic League
11.10.26	Mega Basket - KK Zadar	88:82 ✺
05.10.26	KK Zadar - Studentski Centar	79:65 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
02.10.26	Škrljevo - KK Zadar	69:107 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
03.05.26	KK Zadar - KK Split	90:67
Adriatic League
27.03.26	KK Split - KK Zadar	59:79
06.03.26	KK Zadar - KK Split	106:77
Croatian Cup Basketball
21.02.26	KK Split - KK Zadar	89:86
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
30.01.26	KK Zadar - KK Split	82:67
16.11.25	KK Split - KK Zadar	88:82 OT
14.06.25	KK Split - KK Zadar	65:67 OT

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