Match Info

TPBL

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Kaohsiung Arena (Kaohsiung)


	Kaohsiung Aquas		Taipei Taishin Mars

	1	2
	1.59	2.18
	2.1	1.58
	2.14	1.61	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.02	1.69
	1.74	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.4)	1.76 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 196.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaohsiung Aquas
46.8%

Taipei Taishin Mars
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaohsiung Aquas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaohsiung Aquas's form might have worsened.

Taipei Taishin Mars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Taipei Taishin Mars's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaohsiung Aquas than the current prediction. (+20.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kaohsiung Aquas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taipei Taishin Mars than the current prediction. (-20.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Taipei Taishin Mars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kaohsiung Aquas - Taipei Taishin Mars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 97:100

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Bliznyuk B.	23. Chien K.
10. Hu Long-Mao	33. Manu S.
5. Krajina K.	34. Stone D.
23. Wu Yen-Lun	3. Ting Sheng-Ju
28. Yu Chun-An	21. Willis D.
Substitutes
85. Chin Ming-Ching	9. Chang Chao-Chen
30. Liao Wei-Hao	8. Chen Wen-Hung
21. Lu Wei-Ting	6. Chiang Chun
11. Shih Chin-Yao	11. Huang Tsung-Han
9. Tang Wei-Chieh	10. Kidd S.
57. Wu Xiao-Jin	20. Sun Szu-Yao
7. Yu Huan-Ya	41. Su Yi-Chin
	5. Wei Peng-Ho
	15. Xie Ming-Jun

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaohsiung Aquas won 3.

Kaohsiung Aquas is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Taipei Taishin Mars has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Taipei Taishin Mars may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Kaohsiung Aquas has had a series of home games.

Kaohsiung Aquas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Kaohsiung Aquas won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1512:1400. (average 100.8:93.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaohsiung Aquas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 709:620. (average 101.3:88.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Taipei Taishin Mars - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.35%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaohsiung Aquas
Taiwan TPBL
04.01.26	Kaohsiung Aquas - New Taipei Kings	94:111 ✺
03.01.26	Kaohsiung Aquas - Taiwan Beer Leopards	102:108 ✺
28.12.25	New Taipei Kings - Kaohsiung Aquas	86:82 ✺
14.12.25	Kaohsiung Aquas - Formosa Dreamers	73:99 ✺
13.12.25	Kaohsiung Aquas - Hsinchu JKO Lioneers	99:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLLW
- Taipei Taishin Mars
Taiwan TPBL
27.12.25	Formosa Dreamers - Taipei Taishin Mars	108:98 ✺
21.12.25	Hsinchu JKO Lioneers - Taipei Taishin Mars	83:94 ✺
07.12.25	Taipei Taishin Mars - Kaohsiung Aquas	96:91 OT ✺
06.12.25	Taipei Taishin Mars - New Taipei CTBC DEA	104:108 ✺
03.12.25	Taipei Taishin Mars - Hsinchu JKO Lioneers	100:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Taiwan TPBL
07.12.25	Taipei Taishin Mars - Kaohsiung Aquas	96:91 OT
01.11.25	Kaohsiung Aquas - Taipei Taishin Mars	105:110
13.04.25	Taipei Taishin Mars - Kaohsiung Aquas	76:96
02.03.25	Taipei Taishin Mars - Kaohsiung Aquas	80:99
15.01.25	Kaohsiung Aquas - Taipei Taishin Mars	98:76
05.01.25	Taipei Taishin Mars - Kaohsiung Aquas	100:90
18.12.24	Kaohsiung Aquas - Taipei Taishin Mars	102:94

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