Match Info

Date: 2 April 2022, Saturday


	Kauno Žalgiris-2		Gargždų

	1	2
	3.4	1.25
	3.55	1.22
	3.88	1.27
	3.5	1.29
	3.54	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (2.71)	1.26 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 144.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris-2
26.1%

Gargždų
73.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris-2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kauno Žalgiris-2's form might have worsened.

Gargždų has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gargždų's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris-2 than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kauno Žalgiris-2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gargždų than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gargždų, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Gargždų Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:76

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Preview

2nd leg. Gargzdu leads series 1-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Žalgiris-2 won 0.

Žalgiris-2 is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gargždų is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Žalgiris-2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gargždų is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Žalgiris-2 won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 923-1050.

Including matches at home between the teams Žalgiris-2 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 422-494.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauno Žalgiris-2 Basketball
Lietuvos NKL
30.03.22	Gargždų - Kauno Žalgiris-2	90:61 ✺
22.03.22	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Perlas Vilnius	77:50 ✺
19.03.22	Perlas Vilnius - Kauno Žalgiris-2	72:81 ✺
16.03.22	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Perlas Vilnius	73:68 ✺
12.03.22	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Gargždų	80:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWW
- Gargždų SC Basketball
Lietuvos NKL
30.03.22	Gargždų - Kauno Žalgiris-2	90:61 ✺
12.03.22	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Gargždų	80:67 ✺
10.03.22	Gargždų - Sūduva	72:69 ✺
05.03.22	Gargždų - Šilutė	85:61 ✺
03.03.22	Kauno Atletas - Gargždų	67:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
30.03.22	Gargždų - Kauno Žalgiris-2	90:61
12.03.22	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Gargždų	80:67
27.01.22	Gargždų - Kauno Žalgiris-2	85:81
15.01.22	Gargždų - Kauno Žalgiris-2	70:50
23.10.21	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Gargždų	63:80
14.01.21	Gargždų - Kauno Žalgiris-2	75:82
21.12.20	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Gargždų	57:81

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