Match Info

LITHUANIA: NKL

Date: 12 December 2023, Tuesday


	Kauno Atletas		Kauno Žalgiris-2

	1	2
	1.95	1.75
			Watch
	2	2
	1.82	2.01
	1.91	1.8
	1.81	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.19)	1.89 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 0%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Atletas
49.9%

Kauno Žalgiris-2
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Atletas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kauno Atletas's performance.

Kauno Žalgiris-2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kauno Žalgiris-2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Atletas than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kauno Atletas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris-2 than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kauno Žalgiris-2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kauno Atletas - Kauno Žalgiris 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:76

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kauno Atletas won 1.

Kauno Atletas is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Žalgiris-2 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Žalgiris-2 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Kauno Atletas won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 655-648.

Including matches at home between the teams Kauno Atletas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 279-293.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauno Atletas
Lietuvos NKL
09.12.23	Šilutė - Kauno Atletas	66:70 ✺
06.12.23	Kauno Atletas - Vilniaus Stekas	82:70 ✺
02.12.23	Rytas 2 - Kauno Atletas	58:102 ✺
30.11.23	Kauno Atletas - Perlas Vilkaviškis	85:80 ✺
26.11.23	Kauno Atletas - Jurbarkas-Karys	62:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWWL
- Kauno Žalgiris-2 Basketball
Lietuvos NKL
09.12.23	Sūduva - Kauno Žalgiris-2	85:65 ✺
07.12.23	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris-2	68:69 ✺
02.12.23	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Delikatesas Joniškis	82:72 ✺
30.11.23	Jurbarkas-Karys - Kauno Žalgiris-2	68:79 ✺
25.11.23	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Olimpas Palanga	62:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
28.10.23	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Kauno Atletas	75:77
09.03.23	Kauno Atletas - Kauno Žalgiris-2	63:86
11.02.23	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Kauno Atletas	72:62
01.12.22	Kauno Atletas - Kauno Žalgiris-2	68:72
13.10.22	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Kauno Atletas	93:85 OT (80:80)
05.03.22	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Kauno Atletas	53:72
12.02.22	Kauno Atletas - Kauno Žalgiris-2	70:44

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