Match Info

NBL1 South

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	20:00	Nbl+


	Keilor Thunder		Eltham Wildcats

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.57
	1.95	1.76
	2.26	1.59
	2.06	1.66	Watch
	2.20	1.62
	2.27	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.84)	1.63 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keilor Thunder
42.9%

Eltham Wildcats
57.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keilor Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keilor Thunder's form might have worsened.

Eltham Wildcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eltham Wildcats's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keilor Thunder than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keilor Thunder, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eltham Wildcats than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eltham Wildcats, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Keilor Thunder - Eltham Wildcats Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Keilor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Keilor Thunder will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:89

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Preview

Keilor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Eltham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Eltham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Eltham has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keilor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 394:427. (average 78.8:85.4).

Including home match between the teams, Keilor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 67:98.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keilor Thunder
Australian NBL1 South
14.06.26	Casey Cavaliers - Keilor Thunder	67:78 ✺
13.06.26	Sandringham Sabres - Keilor Thunder	78:87 ✺
05.06.26	Keilor Thunder - Ballarat Miners	116:98 ✺
30.05.26	Melbourne Tigers - Keilor Thunder	95:80 ✺
24.05.26	Keilor Thunder - Dandenong Rangers	94:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWLW
- Eltham Wildcats
Australian NBL1 South
13.06.26	Eltham Wildcats - Melbourne Tigers	63:77 ✺
30.05.26	Eltham Wildcats - Diamond Valley Eagles	105:83 ✺
23.05.26	Eltham Wildcats - Hobart Chargers	108:65 ✺
17.05.26	Eltham Wildcats - Mount Gambier Pioneers	95:77 ✺
10.05.26	Nunawading Spectres - Eltham Wildcats	94:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 South
01.04.26	Eltham Wildcats - Keilor Thunder	80:93
21.06.25	Eltham Wildcats - Keilor Thunder	78:96
11.07.24	Keilor Thunder - Eltham Wildcats	67:98
30.04.23	Eltham Wildcats - Keilor Thunder	102:66
16.07.22	Eltham Wildcats - Keilor Thunder	69:72

Keilor Thunder - Eltham Wildcats