Match Info

TBL - Round 4

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Kahramanmaraş Merkez Spor Salonu (Kahramanmaraş)


	Kipaş İstiklal		Keçiören Bağlum

	1	2
			Watch
	1.20	3.90
	1.22	3.6
	1.19	3.59
	1.17	4.34
	1.16	3.5
	1.3	3.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.3)	3.66 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kipaş İstiklal
75.2%

Keçiören Bağlum
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kipaş İstiklal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kipaş İstiklal's performance.

Keçiören Bağlum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keçiören Bağlum might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Kipaş İstiklal - Keçiören Bağlum Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Celen D.	11. Avci H. (C)
4. Gozeneli B. (C)	23. Buckner E.
3. Jefferson B.	5. Dukes K.
15. Nweke I.	25. Gunes O.
7. Tuna B.	15. Tosun O.
Substitutes
8. Avsar I.	1. Akayin E.
6. Cekici K.	3. Apaydin E.
46. Karaman A.	22. Birkeser A.
9. Ozdogan A.	2. Isaoglu Z.
22. Ozkan C.	24. Isik B.
61. Sevig H.	13. Konuk M.
	6. Yurdusen B.
Coaches
. Volkan C.	. Akayin M.

Preview

Kipaş İstiklal is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Kipaş İstiklal for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Kipaş İstiklal in today's match, at odds of 1.31.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Kipas Istiklal	5	4	1	410:364	9
13	Kecioren Baglum	5	1	4	411:425	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kipaş İstiklal
Turkish TBL
27.09.26	Balıkesir - Kipaş İstiklal	69:79 ✺
19.09.26	Kipaş İstiklal - TED Ankara Kolejliler	83:72 ✺
12.09.26	Göztepe - Kipaş İstiklal	73:72 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
04.09.26	Kipaş İstiklal - İTÜ	107:91 ✺
03.09.26	Final Gençlik - Kipaş İstiklal	72:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLWW
- Keçiören Bağlum SK
Turkish TBL
26.09.26	Keçiören Bağlum - Darüşşafaka	83:91 ✺
20.09.26	Fenerbahçe 2 - Keçiören Bağlum	86:84 ✺
12.09.26	Keçiören Bağlum - Gaziantep BB BT	82:68 ✺
Turkish TB2L
02.05.26	Keçiören Bağlum - Sakarya	85:88 ✺
22.04.26	Keçiören Bağlum - Akhisar Belediyespor	75:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWLW

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