Match Info

TBL - Round 26

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Kahramanmaraş Merkez Spor Salonu (Kahramanmaraş)


	Kipaş İstiklal		Göztepe

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.2
	1.51	2.32
	1.53	2.31
	1.62	2.2
	1.58	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.89)	2.25 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kipaş İstiklal
59.1%

Göztepe
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kipaş İstiklal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kipaş İstiklal's performance.

Göztepe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Göztepe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kipaş İstiklal than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kipaş İstiklal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Göztepe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kipaş İstiklal - Göztepe Predictions

Users Predictions: Kipaş İstiklal will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kipaş İstiklal will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Gunes O.	2. Barnes J.
25. Isik B.	35. Buyukcangaz E.
13. Selen B. (C)	9. Cantitiz A. (C)
6. Watkins D.	10. Gueye A.
16. Yeniay B.	21. Turk K.
Substitutes
1. Abu A.	11. Aydin A.
11. Akkoyun G.	12. Besok K.
53. Demirli G.	7. Esen M.
4. Gozeneli B.	23. Gecen U.
33. Hotamis I.	28. Sari Y.
46. Karaman A.	22. Savut D.
15. Yilmaz A.	4. Ursan C.
Coaches
. Erdogan S.

Preview

Kipaş İstiklal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Göztepe is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Göztepe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Kipaş İstiklal will win today's game, with odds of 1.87.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kipaş İstiklal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 72:77.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Kipas Istiklal	5	4	1	410:364	9
6	Goztepe	4	4	0	321:276	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kipaş İstiklal
Turkish TBL
22.02.26	Konya BBSK - Kipaş İstiklal	94:68 ✺
15.02.26	Kipaş İstiklal - Harem Spor	84:83 ✺
08.02.26	Balıkesir - Kipaş İstiklal	77:81 ✺
03.02.26	Kipaş İstiklal - Cayirova	75:92 ✺
30.01.26	Kipaş İstiklal - İTÜ	89:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLW
- Göztepe Basketball
Turkish TBL
21.02.26	Göztepe - İTÜ	60:66 ✺
16.02.26	Darüşşafaka - Göztepe	64:80 ✺
09.02.26	Göztepe - TED Ankara Kolejliler	72:78 ✺
05.02.26	Kocaeli Kağıtspor - Göztepe	91:82 ✺
31.01.26	Göztepe - Gaziantep BB BT	65:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish TBL
08.11.25	Göztepe - Kipaş İstiklal	77:72

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