Match Info

1. Liga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Hala im. Andrzeja Grubby (Starogard Gdanski)

Referee: Kozubinski M. (Pol)


	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański		Astoria Bydgoszcz

	1	2
	2.2	1.53
	2.29	1.57
	2.24	1.56	Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.26)	1.55 (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański
40.6%

Astoria Bydgoszcz
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Astoria Bydgoszcz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astoria Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Astoria Bydgoszcz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Astoria Bydgoszcz Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Kociewskie Diabły will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kociewskie Diabły (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Bartosz M.	95. Andrzejewski J.
35. Jeszke D.	33. Gruszecki K.
47. Kordalski A.	11. Kaminski K.
3. Majewski B. (C)	50. Kemp A.
22. Sitnik M.	14. Kimbrough M.
Substitutes
77. Adamczyk A.	12. Borkowski K.
4. Gorka M.	8. Chylinski M.
2. Komenda R.	5. Kachelski N.
7. Kowalczyk S.	32. Kedel P.
23. Serocki J.	55. Nowakowski M. (C)
	10. Ptak B.
Coaches
. Radulovic D.	. Skiba G.

Preview

Astoria Bydgoszcz leads series 2-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kociewskie Diabły won 2.

Recent form of Kociewskie Diabły has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Astoria Bydgoszcz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Kociewskie Diabły has had a series of away games.

Astoria Bydgoszcz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Kociewskie Diabły won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1099:1170. (average 78.5:83.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kociewskie Diabły won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 583:594. (average 83.3:84.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
10	Starogard Gdanski	3	1	2	261:280	4

Last Results with these Odds

Astoria Bydgoszcz - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.32%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
09.05.26	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Astoria Bydgoszcz	103:82 ✺
03.05.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	68:62 ✺
02.05.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	101:78 ✺
26.04.26	Sokol Lancut - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	82:81 ✺
25.04.26	Sokol Lancut - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	82:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL
- Astoria Bydgoszcz
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
09.05.26	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Astoria Bydgoszcz	103:82 ✺
03.05.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	68:62 ✺
02.05.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	101:78 ✺
26.04.26	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Astoria Bydgoszcz	84:94 ✺
25.04.26	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Astoria Bydgoszcz	84:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
09.05.26	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Astoria Bydgoszcz	103:82
03.05.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	68:62
02.05.26	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	101:78
11.04.26	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Astoria Bydgoszcz	74:78
19.12.25	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	71:79
05.04.25	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański	95:63
29.12.24	Kociewskie Diabły Starogard Gdański - Astoria Bydgoszcz	77:103

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