Match Info

SERBIA: FIRST LEAGUE - ROUND 27

Date: 27 March 2023, Monday

Location: SRC Kolubara (Lazarevac)


	Kolubara		OKK Beograd

	1	2
	2.1	1.62
	2.42	1.52
	2.39	1.51
	2.28	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.04)	1.54 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kolubara
40.1%

OKK Beograd
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kolubara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kolubara's form might have worsened.

OKK Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting OKK Beograd's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolubara than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kolubara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for OKK Beograd than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for OKK Beograd, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Kolubara - OKK Beograd Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kolubara will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). OKK Beograd will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:86

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kolubara won 1.

Recent matches Kolubara is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

OKK Beograd is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

OKK Beograd could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

OKK Beograd will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's OKK Beograd to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Kolubara won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 605-647.

Including matches at home between the teams Kolubara won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 269-284.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Kolubara
Serbian First League Basketball
18.03.23	Dunav Stari Banovci - Kolubara	95:96 ✺
11.03.23	Kolubara - Dynamic	78:83 ✺
05.03.23	Sloboda Užice - Kolubara	95:74 ✺
28.02.23	Kolubara - Vojvodina	93:80 ✺
11.02.23	Tamiš - Kolubara	77:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWL
- OKK Beograd
Serbian First League Basketball
22.03.23	Sloga Kraljevo - OKK Beograd	80:96 ✺
19.03.23	OKK Beograd - Čačak 94	102:70 ✺
11.03.23	Zdravlje Leskovac - OKK Beograd	91:97 ✺
07.03.23	OKK Beograd - Metalac Valjevo	79:68 ✺
12.02.23	OKK Beograd - Zlatibor Čajetina	86:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian First League Basketball
11.12.22	OKK Beograd - Kolubara	96:90
02.03.22	Kolubara - OKK Beograd	86:97
06.11.21	OKK Beograd - Kolubara	94:81
30.01.21	Kolubara - OKK Beograd	91:102 OT (84:84)
17.10.20	OKK Beograd - Kolubara	75:81
18.01.20	OKK Beograd - Kolubara	98:84
20.10.19	Kolubara - OKK Beograd	92:85 OT (77:77)

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