Match Info

Elite League - Round 22

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday


	Koroivos		Papagou

	1	2
	1.42	2.6
	1.46	2.42
	1.52	2.38
	1.56	2.24	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.56	2.27
	1.47	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.4)	2.41 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Koroivos
61.5%

Papagou
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koroivos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Papagou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koroivos than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Papagou than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Koroivos - Papagou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:76

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Koroivos won 3.

Koroivos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Papagou is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Papagou may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Koroivos will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Papagou will win today's game, with odds of 2.73.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Koroivos won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 559:540. (average 79.9:77.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Koroivos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 260:215. (average 86.7:71.7).

Outrights of Greek Elite League Basketball for now

Koroivos: 2.58% Papagou: 1.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
13	Koroivos	1	0	1	59:76	1
14	Papagou	1	0	1	92:111	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Koroivos BC
Greek Elite League Basketball
12.02.26	Aigaleo - Koroivos	71:79 ✺
07.02.26	Koroivos - Proteas Voulas	82:81 ✺
02.02.26	Vikos - Koroivos	98:92 ✺
19.01.26	Chalkida - Koroivos	93:88 ✺
10.01.26	Koroivos - Sofadon	90:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLLW
- Papagou BC
Greek Elite League Basketball
11.02.26	Papagou - Niki Volos	89:79 ✺
07.02.26	Panerythraikos - Papagou	72:77 ✺
31.01.26	Papagou - Lavrio	77:75 ✺
24.01.26	Papagou - Peiramatiko Machites	93:58 ✺
17.01.26	Aigaleo - Papagou	61:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Elite League Basketball
08.11.25	Papagou - Koroivos	69:67
04.01.25	Papagou - Koroivos	70:72
05.10.24	Koroivos - Papagou	73:66
06.03.24	Koroivos - Papagou	95:73
29.11.23	Papagou - Koroivos	105:87
25.03.23	Koroivos - Papagou	92:76
03.12.22	Papagou - Koroivos	81:73

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