Match Info

EUROPE: ABA LEAGUE 2 - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 14 April 2023, Friday

Location: Sportna dvorana Domzale (Domžale)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Krka		Podgorica

	1	2
	1.25	3.4
	1.19	4.4
	1.15	4.75
	1.26	3.48	Watch
	1.23	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.72)	3.94 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krka
76.4%

Podgorica
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Krka's performance.

Podgorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Podgorica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krka than the current prediction. (-23.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Krka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podgorica than the current prediction. (+23.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Podgorica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Krka - Podgorica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:75

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Preview

Recent matches Krka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Podgorica is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Podgorica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Krka is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Podgorica to win the game is with odds 3.35.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Krka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 72-60.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Krka
Adriatic League 2
12.04.23	Krka - Sutjeska Nikšić	91:82 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
03.04.23	Podcetrtek - Krka	93:117 ✺
24.03.23	Krka - Rogaška	88:68 ✺
19.03.23	Šenčur - Krka	91:72 ✺
15.03.23	Krka - Helios Suns Domžale	82:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWLL
- KK Podgorica
Adriatic League 2
12.04.23	Podgorica - Zlatibor Čajetina	89:64 ✺
Montenegrin Prva A Liga Basketball
18.03.23	Podgorica - Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	93:75 ✺
Adriatic League 2
11.03.23	Pelister - Podgorica	84:97 ✺
09.03.23	Podgorica - Helios Suns Domžale	79:70 ✺
06.03.23	Borac Banja Luka - Podgorica	60:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League 2
21.11.22	Podgorica - Krka	60:72

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