Match Info

BNXT League - Round 28

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Sportcentrum Kalverdijkje (Leeuwarden)


	LWD Basket		Kangoeroes Mechelen

	1	2
	2.48	1.44
	2.51	1.48
	2.34	1.47	Watch
	2.7	1.44
	2.53	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.56)	1.46 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

LWD Basket
36.7%

Kangoeroes Mechelen
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LWD Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Kangoeroes Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LWD Basket than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for LWD Basket, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kangoeroes Mechelen than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kangoeroes Mechelen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

LWD Basket - Kangoeroes Mechelen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:85

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Bouwer M.	5. Bangala Z.
15. Brandsma R. (C)	2. Dammen Y. (C)
8. Edney F.	22. Dedroog L.
24. Merkx B.	7. De Wilde V.
6. Ter Weeme B.	30. Heath J.
Substitutes
28. Forsyth T.	1. Dedecker C.
3. Frierson M.	8. Ewuosho M.
7. Heuker T.	24. Stampley N.
21. Janeck D.	21. Van Goethem T.
4. Maidoh C.
0. Maillet S.
11. Pryce S.
Coaches
. van Sliedregt V.	. van den Bosch T.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeuwarden won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Leeuwarden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mechelen could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Leeuwarden won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 556:598. (average 79.4:85.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Leeuwarden won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 270:252. (average 90:84).

Outrights of BNXT League for now

Mechelen: 2.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
5	Mechelen	1	1	0	109:100	1.000

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LWD Basket
BNXT League
03.04.26	Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch - LWD Basket	75:65 ✺
01.04.26	Donar Groningen - LWD Basket	92:82 ✺
29.03.26	LWD Basket - Leuven Bears	84:82 ✺
25.03.26	LWD Basket - Landstede	81:91 ✺
15.03.26	Landstede - LWD Basket	86:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWLW
- Kangoeroes Mechelen
BNXT League
04.04.26	Kangoeroes Mechelen - Okapi Aalstar	94:74 ✺
01.04.26	Kangoeroes Mechelen - BAL Weert	80:57 ✺
27.03.26	Spirou Charleroi - Kangoeroes Mechelen	79:74 ✺
15.03.26	Leiden - Kangoeroes Mechelen	59:75 ✺
13.03.26	Kangoeroes Mechelen - Leiden	68:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

BNXT League
10.01.26	Kangoeroes Mechelen - LWD Basket	89:79
01.02.25	Kangoeroes Mechelen - LWD Basket	89:69
27.10.24	LWD Basket - Kangoeroes Mechelen	89:85
03.05.24	Kangoeroes Mechelen - LWD Basket	92:77
24.03.24	LWD Basket - Kangoeroes Mechelen	91:71
28.04.23	Kangoeroes Mechelen - LWD Basket	76:61
02.04.23	LWD Basket - Kangoeroes Mechelen	90:96

Upcoming Matches