Match Info

BNXT League - Round 8

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Sportcentrum Kalverdijkje (Leeuwarden)


	LWD Basket		Okapi Aalstar

	1	2
	1.95	1.72
	2.1	1.68
	2.02	1.64	Watch
	2.1	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2.02)	1.68 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 177.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LWD Basket
45.1%

Okapi Aalstar
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LWD Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Okapi Aalstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LWD Basket than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okapi Aalstar than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

LWD Basket - Okapi Aalstar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Okapi Aalstar will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Okapi Aalstar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB, 1st Half - Leeuwarden (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - Okapi Aalstar (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1, 1st Half - Okapi Aalstar (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeuwarden (votes: 1 - 25%). Okapi Aalstar (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Bouwer M.	0. Colbert E.
4. Maidoh C.	10. Ledegen S.
0. Maillet S.	21. Maddox D.
33. O'Boyle L.	3. Maras I. (C)
11. Pryce S.	9. Van den Eynde N.
Substitutes
15. Brandsma R. (C)	5. De Boeck J.
28. De Zwart T.	12. Eruka J.
8. Edney F.	11. Massey O.
7. Heuker T.	15. Palinckx M.
1. Hobbs K.	6. Temmerman G.
21. Janeck D.	4. Unal J.
24. Merkx B.	7. Van Heule A.
6. Ter Weeme B.
Coaches
. van Sliedregt V.	. Foucart O.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeuwarden won 3.

Leeuwarden is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Okapi Aalstar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Leeuwarden won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 607:644. (average 75.9:80.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Leeuwarden won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 309:307. (average 77.3:76.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LWD Basket
BNXT League
18.10.25	Leiden - LWD Basket	108:89 ✺
11.10.25	LWD Basket - Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch	82:94 ✺
04.10.25	LWD Basket - Oostende	90:100 ✺
27.09.25	Spirou Charleroi - LWD Basket	98:84 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
06.09.25	Donar Groningen - LWD Basket	105:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Okapi Aalstar
BNXT League
18.10.25	Donar Groningen - Okapi Aalstar	85:78 ✺
11.10.25	Den Helder Suns - Okapi Aalstar	83:85 ✺
04.10.25	Okapi Aalstar - Kortrijk Spurs	93:74 ✺
28.09.25	Brussels - Okapi Aalstar	85:89 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
12.09.25	Okapi Aalstar - Den Helder Suns	101:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

BNXT League
10.05.25	LWD Basket - Okapi Aalstar	99:88
14.12.24	Okapi Aalstar - LWD Basket	64:82
30.04.24	LWD Basket - Okapi Aalstar	67:66
06.04.24	Okapi Aalstar - LWD Basket	103:74
15.05.22	Okapi Aalstar - LWD Basket	83:67
11.05.22	LWD Basket - Okapi Aalstar	61:78
Dutch DBL
01.04.22	LWD Basket - Okapi Aalstar	82:75

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