The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leñadores de Durango 42.8%
Fuerza Regia 57.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.9%
51.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48%
52%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leñadores de Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leñadores de Durango's form might have worsened.
Fuerza Regia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fuerza Regia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leñadores de Durango than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leñadores de Durango, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuerza Regia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fuerza Regia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Leñadores de Durango - Fuerza Regia Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Durango will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Fuerza Regia will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fuerza Regia: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:84
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Preview
3rd leg. Fuerza Regia leads series 2-0.
Durango is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Fuerza Regia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 24 head-to-head matches Durango won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 2016-2113.
Including matches at home between the teams Durango won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 980-957.