What is the expert prediction for Le Mans vs AS Monaco Basket?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Le Mans vs AS Monaco Basket. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Le Mans vs AS Monaco Basket Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, November 16, 2025)

Match Info

LNB - Round 8

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Antares (Le Mans)


	Le Mans		AS Monaco Basket

	1	2
	3.1	1.38	Watch
	2.8	1.44
	2.82	1.45
	2.67	1.41	Watch
	2.77	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.67)	1.43 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
33.6%

AS Monaco Basket
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

AS Monaco Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AS Monaco Basket than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	0%	5%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +6.5, OT - Le Mans (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Le Mans will win (19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Le Mans will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 18 - 100%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 86:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Berhanemeskel J.	4. Blossomgame J.
32. Dufeal L.	11. Diallo A.
12. Hudgins T.	55. James M. (C)
3. Williams T.	32. Strazel M.
15. Yeguete W. (C)	10. Theis D.
Substitutes
5. Bogues S.	23. Begarin J.
34. DiLeo D.	5. Makoundou Y.
10. Doumbia U.	6. Michineau D.
1. Grasshoff B.	26. Nedovic N.
18. Jeanne J.	0. Okobo E.
4. Simonovic D.	22. Tarpey T.
35. Thomas T.
Coaches
. Vizade G.	. Spanoulis V.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Le Mans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Monaco has had a series of away games.

Monaco will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1602:1725. (average 80.1:86.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Mans won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 554:589. (average 79.1:84.1).

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Last Results with these Odds

AS Monaco Basket - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.44%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans Sarthe Basket
French LNB
08.11.25	Le Mans - Strasbourg	72:84 ✺
Champions League Basketball
05.11.25	Benfica - Le Mans	93:90 ✺
French LNB
01.11.25	Cholet Basket - Le Mans	80:84 ✺
25.10.25	Le Mans - Le Portel	107:68 ✺
Champions League Basketball
21.10.25	Le Mans - Benfica	89:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWW
- AS Monaco Basket
Euroleague
13.11.25	Crvena Zvezda - AS Monaco Basket	91:79 ✺
11.11.25	Partizan Belgrade - AS Monaco Basket	78:76 ✺
French LNB
09.11.25	AS Monaco Basket - Saint-Quentin	92:84 ✺
Euroleague
06.11.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - AS Monaco Basket	107:112 OT ✺
French LNB
02.11.25	Limoges - AS Monaco Basket	77:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French LNB Super Cup
21.09.25	AS Monaco Basket - Le Mans	104:79
French LNB
01.06.25	AS Monaco Basket - Le Mans	85:76
30.05.25	Le Mans - AS Monaco Basket	88:87
28.05.25	AS Monaco Basket - Le Mans	76:69
French Cup Basketball
16.03.25	AS Monaco Basket - Le Mans	99:102
French Leaders Cup Basketball
16.02.25	AS Monaco Basket - Le Mans	96:104
French LNB
26.01.25	Le Mans - AS Monaco Basket	74:81

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