Match Info

FRANCE: LNB - ROUND 23

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday

Location: Le Chaudron (Le Portel)


	Le Portel		Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez

	1	2
	1.52	2.67
	1.5	2.5
	1.52	2.55
	1.49	2.5
	1.56	2.51
	1.51	2.62
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.49	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.41)	2.56 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Portel
62.9%

Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Portel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Le Portel's form might have worsened.

Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Portel than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Le Portel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	0%	13%

Le Portel - Élan Béarnais Pau Orthez Predictions

Users Predictions: Le Portel will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:79

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Le Portel won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Le Portel will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Le Portel won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1111-1179.

Including matches at home between the teams Le Portel won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 528-538.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ESSM Le Portel
French LNB
04.03.23	Le Portel - Chorale Roanne	84:95 ✺
French Cup Basketball
15.02.23	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Le Portel	92:83 ✺
French LNB
11.02.23	Nancy - Le Portel	79:73 ✺
03.02.23	Le Portel - Strasbourg	82:71 ✺
28.01.23	Nanterre - Le Portel	83:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLWW
- Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez
French LNB
07.03.23	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Metropolitans 92	76:78 ✺
French Cup Basketball
15.02.23	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Le Portel	92:83 ✺
French LNB
12.02.23	Paris - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	97:101 ✺
04.02.23	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Provence Basket	74:63 ✺
28.01.23	Le Mans - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	97:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Cup Basketball
15.02.23	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Le Portel	92:83
French LNB
29.10.22	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Le Portel	84:89
07.03.22	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Le Portel	75:70
12.11.21	Le Portel - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	89:93 OT (76:76)
25.05.21	Le Portel - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	58:72
27.04.21	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Le Portel	90:68
07.03.20	Le Portel - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	84:85

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