The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leones de Quilpue 54.1%
Deportivo Valdivia 45.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.1%
41.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.4%
40.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones de Quilpue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Deportivo Valdivia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones de Quilpue than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones de Quilpue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Valdivia than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Valdivia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leones de Quilpue - Deportivo Valdivia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:71
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
5. Henry S.
0. Allen K.
10. Herrera B.
9. Carrasco E.
4. Jones D.
2. Garrett Z.
15. Key J.
19. Hermosilla G.
30. Perkins K.
10. Lauler C.
Substitutes
18. Garcia D.
4. De Leon A.
22. Jones T.
23. Hernandez G.
17. Lugo E.
17. Herrera F.
12. Mijares S.
7. Larsen Elortondo E.
6. Rebolledo N.
5. Liss O.
45. Toro B.
1. Mique S.
3. Vergara G.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones de Quilpue won 3.
Leones de Quilpue has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Deportivo Valdivia is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Deportivo Valdivia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Leones de Quilpue has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Leones de Quilpue has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1542:1416 (averaging 77.1:70.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Leones de Quilpue against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 804:710 goals (averaging 80.4:71 per game).