Match Info

LKL

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Kalnapilio arena (Panevėžys)


	Lietkabelis		Rytas

	1	2
	2.18	1.63	Watch
	2.3	1.57
	2.27	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.3	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.04)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lietkabelis
41.1%

Rytas
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lietkabelis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Rytas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lietkabelis than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lietkabelis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rytas than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rytas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lietkabelis - Rytas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Danusevicius P.	9. Bruhnke K.
4. Furmanavicius J.	14. Echodas M.
7. Kullamae K.	41. Lukosius S.
44. Radicevic N.	77. Paliukenas M.
22. Washington W.	44. Speedy Smith
Substitutes
2. Bickauskis D.	24. Caroline J.
24. Kuliesa N.	22. Krizanauskas G.
10. Lipkevicius V. (C)	3. Marciulionis A.
12. Maldunas G.	21. Masiulis G. (C)
6. Mutic L.	16. Urbonas I.
5. Radzius N.
Coaches
. Canak N.	. Zibenas G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lietkabelis won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Rytas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rytas has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lietkabelis won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1673:1785. (average 83.7:89.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lietkabelis won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 478:481. (average 79.7:80.2).

Outrights of Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga for now

Lietkabelis: 2.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
5	Lietkabelis	4	2	2	314:344	0.500
9	Rytas	1	0	1	102:105	0.000

Last Results with these Odds

Lietkabelis - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 44.57%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lietkabelis Panevezys
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
29.04.26	Jonava - Lietkabelis	69:67 ✺
26.04.26	Lietkabelis - Neptūnas	83:80 ✺
21.04.26	Lietkabelis - Juventus Utena	91:69 ✺
15.04.26	Lietkabelis - Nevėžis Kedainiai	105:72 ✺
12.04.26	Gargždai - Lietkabelis	64:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWW
- BC Rytas
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
29.04.26	Neptūnas - Rytas	91:98 ✺
27.04.26	Rytas - Šiauliai	102:72 ✺
25.04.26	Rytas - Juventus Utena	102:80 ✺
22.04.26	Rytas - Jonava	98:81 ✺
19.04.26	Rytas - Žalgiris Kaunas	70:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
22.03.26	Rytas - Lietkabelis	96:81
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
21.02.26	Rytas - Lietkabelis	106:89
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
13.12.25	Rytas - Lietkabelis	73:84
11.10.25	Lietkabelis - Rytas	89:84
08.06.25	Rytas - Lietkabelis	94:70
06.06.25	Lietkabelis - Rytas	87:76
04.06.25	Rytas - Lietkabelis	87:86

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