Match Info

Serie A2 Women - Gr. A - Round 7

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: PalaMacchia (Livorno)


	Livorno		San Giovanni Valdarno

	1	2
	2.52	1.46
	2.31	1.52	Watch
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.22)	1.51 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 132.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
38.7%

San Giovanni Valdarno
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

San Giovanni Valdarno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Giovanni Valdarno than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Livorno - San Giovanni Valdarno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 64:69

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Botteghi A. (C)	45. De Cassan F.
18. Cruz C.	27. Favre L.
12. Miccio L.	21. Mosetti M.
15. Poggio A.	22. Ngamene Takougang K. L.
6. Sammartini G.	2. Oliveira R.
Substitutes
2. Braccagni G.	15. Bernardi I.
3. Marangoni S.	13. Celani N.
16. Poggi M.	16. Diakhoumpa D.
9. Rinaldi S.	8. Lazzaro M. (C)
8. Sassetti I.	10. Merisio F.
11. Spagnoli S.
4. Stefanini A.
Coaches
. Angiolini W.	. Garcia J.

Preview

In recent matches, Livorno has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

SG Valdarno is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 107:144. (average 53.5:72).

Including home match between the teams, Livorno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 58:61.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertas Livorno Women
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
22.11.25	Salerno - Livorno	45:64 ✺
08.11.25	Torino - Livorno	74:62 ✺
01.11.25	Livorno - Viterbo Ants	58:56 ✺
25.10.25	Sanga Milano - Livorno	68:56 ✺
18.10.25	Livorno - San Salvatore Selargius	59:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL
- San Giovanni Valdarno
Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
22.11.25	San Giovanni Valdarno - Milano Basket Stars	79:76 ✺
08.11.25	San Giovanni Valdarno - Empoli	78:73 ✺
01.11.25	San Giovanni Valdarno - Torino	71:67 ✺
25.10.25	Salerno - San Giovanni Valdarno	65:77 ✺
11.10.25	Sanga Milano - San Giovanni Valdarno	74:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball Women Group A
01.03.25	Livorno - San Giovanni Valdarno	58:61
23.11.24	San Giovanni Valdarno - Livorno	83:49

Livorno - San Giovanni Valdarno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide