Match Info

NBL1 North

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday


	Logan Thunder		Sunshine Coast Phoenix

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.8	1.87
	1.83	1.9
			Watch
	1.79	1.93
	1.74	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.59)	1.9 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Logan Thunder
51.6%

Sunshine Coast Phoenix
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Logan Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Logan Thunder's form might have worsened.

Sunshine Coast Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sunshine Coast Phoenix's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Logan Thunder than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Logan Thunder, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunshine Coast Phoenix than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sunshine Coast Phoenix, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Logan Thunder - Sunshine Coast Phoenix Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:92

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Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

Logan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sunshine Coast has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Logan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 170:143. (average 85:71.5).

Including home match between the teams, Logan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 79:71.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Logan Thunder
Australian NBL1 North
28.06.25	Northside Wizards - Logan Thunder	84:93 ✺
14.06.25	Ipswich Force - Logan Thunder	87:90 ✺
07.06.25	Logan Thunder - Gold Coast Rollers	110:98 ✺
31.05.25	Logan Thunder - Ipswich Force	127:116 OT ✺
23.05.25	Logan Thunder - Townsville Heat	84:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWL
- Sunshine Coast Phoenix
Australian NBL1 North
28.06.25	Brisbane Capitals - Sunshine Coast Phoenix	114:79 ✺
21.06.25	Sunshine Coast Phoenix - Rockhampton Rockets	112:85 ✺
14.06.25	Northside Wizards - Sunshine Coast Phoenix	68:85 ✺
07.06.25	Townsville Heat - Sunshine Coast Phoenix	77:98 ✺
06.06.25	Cairns Marlins - Sunshine Coast Phoenix	63:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 North
13.07.24	Logan Thunder - Sunshine Coast Phoenix	79:71
20.05.23	Sunshine Coast Phoenix - Logan Thunder	72:91

Logan Thunder - Sunshine Coast Phoenix: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide